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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Celtic
S S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Hibernian
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
3,5
2,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+1,5
This season — Premiership · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 68%
93%
43%
Points per game
2,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
79%
57%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
46%
Average goals
3,9
3,1
Scored
3,2
1,6
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

79% Possession 21%
35 Shots 3
9 Shots on target 1
11 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
15 Corners 0
0 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Celtic 1. · Hibernian 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 28 26 1 1 +70 79
2 Rangers 29 23 4 2 +45 73
3 Hearts 28 13 6 9 +9 45
4 Hibernian 28 12 4 12 +1 40
5 Livingston 29 11 6 12 -13 39
6 Aberdeen 28 12 2 14 -9 38
7 St Mirren 28 10 7 11 -11 37
8 ST Johnstone 28 9 4 15 -15 31
9 Motherwell 29 8 6 15 -8 30
10 Ross County 29 6 6 17 -18 24
11 Kilmarnock 28 6 6 16 -27 24
12 Dundee United 28 5 6 17 -24 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Dec -22 Hibernian – Celtic 0–4 15. Oct -22 Celtic – Hibernian 6–1 27. Feb -22 Hibernian – Celtic 0–0 17. Jan -22 Celtic – Hibernian 2–0 27. Oct -21 Hibernian – Celtic 1–3

Match report

Celtic Hibernian
D. Turnbull 🔁
↦ R. Hatate
13′
19′
🟨 Thody Elie Youan
24′
🟨 Thody Elie Youan
24′
🟥 Thody Elie Youan
39′
⚽ J. Campbell 0–1
Half-time 0–1
51′
🟨 Paul Hanlon
1–1 Jota ⚽
52′
L. Abada 🔁
↦ D. Maeda
60′
Oh Hyeon-Gyu 🔁
↦ M. ORiley
60′
A. Bernabei 🔁
↦ G. Taylor
60′
64′
🔁 C. Cadden
↦ J. Doyle-Hayes
66′
🟨 Marijan Čabraja
69′
🔁 M. Hoppe
↦ W. Fish
79′
🔁 E. Henderson
↦ L. Miller
2–1 Oh Hyeon-Gyu ⚽
D. Turnbull
81′
Hyun-gyu Oh 🟨
82′
S. Hakšabanović 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
83′
91′
🟨 Josh Campbell
3–1 S. Hakšabanović ⚽
D. Turnbull
95′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
4 C. Starfelt D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
17 Jota F
8 K. Furuhashi F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
14 D. Turnbull
11 L. Abada
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
25 A. Bernabei
9 S. Hakšabanović
56 A. Ralston
18 Y. Kobayashi
29 S. Bain
53 B. Summers

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Hibernian

5-3-2
1 D. Marshall G
2 L. Miller D
25 W. Fish D
4 P. Hanlon D
3 M. Čabraja D
16 L. Stevenson D
26 C. Egan-Riley M
14 J. Jeggo M
8 J. Doyle-Hayes M
32 J. Campbell F
23 É. Youan F
Bench (9)
12 C. Cadden
13 M. Hoppe
18 E. Henderson
17 M. Devlin
37 O. MacIntyre
22 H. McKirdy
99 M. Kukharevych
31 M. Johnson
15 K. Nisbet

Coach: L. Johnson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,17
🔒
U
7,52
🔒
B
14,46
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,37
🔒
U2,5
2,97
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.