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Premiership
Referee: M MacDermid
St Mirren
U T T S S
0–1
Full-time
Hibernian
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Premiership · 23/24 matches
Win Ø 39%
39%
38%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
52%
58%
Both score Ø 45%
43%
46%
Average goals
2,5
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
8 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 4. · Hibernian 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 24 22 1 1 +57 67
2 Rangers 24 18 4 2 +34 58
3 Hearts 24 11 6 7 +8 39
4 St Mirren 23 9 6 8 -6 33
5 Livingston 23 9 5 9 -9 32
6 Hibernian 24 9 4 11 -2 31
7 Aberdeen 24 9 2 13 -10 29
8 ST Johnstone 24 8 3 13 -10 27
9 Kilmarnock 24 6 5 13 -21 23
10 Ross County 24 5 6 13 -17 21
11 Motherwell 23 5 5 13 -9 20
12 Dundee United 23 5 5 13 -15 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Hibernian
18′
🔁 M. Hoppe
↦ H. McKirdy
Half-time 0–0
Marcus Fraser 🟨
46′
58′
🔁 C. Cadden
↦ A. McGeady
66′
🟨 Paul Hanlon
T. Watt 🔁
↦ A. Greive
67′
69′
🔁 E. Henderson
↦ J. Newell
76′
🟨 Josh Campbell
77′
É. Youan 0–1
E. Henderson
T. Small 🔁
↦ G. Kiltie
80′
K. Offord 🔁
↦ S. Tanser
81′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

St Mirren

5-3-2
1 T. Carson G
23 R. Strain D
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
18 C. Dunne D
3 S. Tanser D
11 G. Kiltie M
17 K. Baccus M
6 M. O'Hara M
10 C. Main F
21 A. Greive
Bench (8)
9 T. Watt
16 T. Small
25 K. Offord
5 R. Taylor
8 R. Flynn
31 D. Gallagher
35 A. Gilmartin
27 P. Urminský

Coach: S. Robinson

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
1 D. Marshall G
26 C. Egan-Riley D
25 W. Fish D
4 P. Hanlon D
16 L. Stevenson D
11 J. Newell M
14 J. Jeggo M
22 H. McKirdy M
32 J. Campbell M
46 A. McGeady M
23 É. Youan F
Bench (9)
13 M. Hoppe
12 C. Cadden
18 E. Henderson
39 J. O'Connor
37 O. MacIntyre
10 Jair Tavares
3 M. Čabraja
2 L. Miller
31 M. Johnson

Coach: L. Johnson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,72
U
3,27
B ✓
2,58
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M MacDermid · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.