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Premiership
Referee: A Newlands
St Mirren
T S T U U
1–1
Full-time
Hamilton
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Hamilton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,5
3,5
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 19%
21%
17%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
42%
63%
Both score Ø 48%
38%
58%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

11 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 5
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 10. · Hamilton 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 24 21 1 2 +53 64
2 Rangers 23 18 3 2 +44 57
3 Motherwell 24 13 2 9 +6 41
4 Aberdeen 24 10 8 6 +3 38
5 Livingston 25 9 7 9 +3 34
6 Hibernian 24 7 9 8 -6 30
7 Kilmarnock 24 7 5 12 -8 26
8 Ross County 25 6 7 12 -25 25
9 ST Johnstone 23 5 9 9 -21 24
10 St Mirren 24 5 6 13 -13 21
11 Hearts 24 3 9 12 -16 18
12 Hamilton 24 4 6 14 -20 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Dec -19 Hamilton – St Mirren 0–1 21. Sep -19 St Mirren – Hamilton 0–0

Match report

St Mirren Hamilton
25′
⚽ D. Templeton 0–1
M. Miller
Half-time 0–1
L. Hodson 🔁
↦ J. McGrath
46′
59′
🔁 D. Moyo
↦ M. Ogboe
J. Obika 🔁
↦ J. Morias
63′
Jonathan Obika 🟨
64′
65′
🔁 L. Smith
↦ D. Templeton
70′
🟨 Mikel Miller
1–1 Í. Durmuş ⚽
72′
A. Jakubiak 🔁
↦ R. Flynn
73′
83′
🔁 B. Alston
↦ M. Miller
Sam Foley 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St Mirren

4-2-3-1
1 V. Hladký G
3 C. Waters D
5 C. McCarthy D
22 A. Famewo D
8 R. Flynn M
16 S. Foley M
10 T. Andreu M
11 Í. Durmuş M
17 J. McGrath M
24 C. MacPherson M
19 J. Morias F
Bench (7)
2 L. Hodson
9 J. Obika
28 A. Jakubiak
20 C. Cooke
14 K. McAllister
26 D. Lyness
18 D. Mullen

Coach: J. Goodwin

Hamilton

4-1-3-2
31 L. Southwood G
24 B. Easton D
6 J. Hunt D
13 A. Gogić
3 S. McMann D
2 A. McGowan D
21 S. Want D
25 S. Martin M
16 D. Templeton F
99 M. Ogboe F
11 M. Miller F
Bench (7)
20 D. Moyo
28 L. Smith
10 B. Alston
22 K. Gourlay
26 A. Dales
12 S. Woods
8 S. Davies

Coach: B. Rice

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,82
🔒
U ✓
3,54
🔒
B
4,23
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,11
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,71
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.