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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
Hamilton
T T U T U
0–0
Full-time
Motherwell
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamilton Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
2,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 27/26 matches
Win Ø 33%
15%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
63%
62%
Both score Ø 53%
63%
42%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

16 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 5
14 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hamilton 11. · Motherwell 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 27 24 1 2 +63 73
2 Rangers 26 20 3 3 +45 63
3 Aberdeen 27 11 8 8 +3 41
4 Motherwell 26 13 2 11 +1 41
5 Livingston 27 10 7 10 +3 37
6 Hibernian 27 9 9 9 -3 36
7 Kilmarnock 27 9 5 13 -7 32
8 ST Johnstone 26 7 10 9 -19 31
9 Ross County 27 6 8 13 -28 26
10 St Mirren 26 5 7 14 -14 22
11 Hamilton 27 4 8 15 -22 20
12 Hearts 27 3 10 14 -22 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamilton Motherwell
Johnny Hunt 🟨
4′
31′
🟨 Christopher Long
34′
🟨 Mark O'Hara
37′
🟨 Christopher Long
37′
🟥 Christopher Long
Half-time 0–0
L. Smith 🔁
↦ B. Alston
52′
Alexander Gogić 🟨
59′
A. Winter 🔁
↦ D. Moyo
61′
67′
🔁 R. MacIver
↦ T. Watt
73′
🟨 Mark Gillespie
77′
🔁 J. Hylton
↦ R. Aarons
R. Mimnaugh 🔁
↦ W. Collar
84′
90′
🟨 Declan Gallagher
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Hamilton

4-3-3
31 L. Southwood G
6 J. Hunt D
13 A. Gogić
2 A. McGowan D
21 S. Want D
10 B. Alston M
25 S. Martin M
7 W. Collar M
16 D. Templeton F
20 D. Moyo F
99 M. Ogboe F
Bench (7)
28 L. Smith
19 A. Winter
33 R. Mimnaugh
46 M. Redfern
4 C. McKenna
42 C. Reilly
22 K. Gourlay

Coach: B. Rice

Motherwell

3-5-2
20 M. Gillespie G
5 P. Hartley D
2 R. Tait D
31 D. Gallagher D
22 L. Donnelly D
19 L. Polworth M
52 M. O'Hara D
6 A. Campbell M
8 T. Watt F
9 C. Long F
17 R. Aarons M
Bench (7)
37 R. MacIver
14 J. Hylton
15 B. Maguire
4 L. Grimshaw
24 B. Mugabi
1 T. Carson
11 S. Seedorf

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,49
U ✓
3,39
B
2,07
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.