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Premiership

Referee: G Aitken

Hamilton

S T T T U

1–3

Full-time

Aberdeen

U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamilton Aberdeen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,3

1,2

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

2,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

This season — Premiership · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 28%

16%

40%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

60%

48%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

44% Possession 56%

4 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 8

2 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamilton 11. · Aberdeen 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	25	22	1	2	+57	67
2	Rangers	24	19	3	2	+45	60
3	Motherwell	25	13	2	10	+2	41
4	Aberdeen	25	10	8	7	+2	38
5	Livingston	25	9	7	9	+3	34
6	Hibernian	25	7	9	9	-7	30
7	Kilmarnock	25	8	5	12	-7	29
8	ST Johnstone	24	6	9	9	-20	27
9	Ross County	25	6	7	12	-25	25
10	St Mirren	25	5	7	13	-13	22
11	Hamilton	25	4	7	14	-20	19
12	Hearts	25	3	9	13	-17	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	12	11	0	1	+31	33
2	Rangers	12	10	1	1	+26	31
3	Livingston	12	7	3	2	+10	24
4	Aberdeen	12	6	3	3	+4	21
5	Kilmarnock	12	5	4	3	+5	19
6	Motherwell	13	6	1	6	-2	19
7	Hibernian	12	4	6	2	+3	18
8	St Mirren	13	4	5	4	-1	17
9	Ross County	12	5	2	5	-5	17
10	ST Johnstone	13	3	5	5	-9	14
11	Hearts	13	2	5	6	-4	11
12	Hamilton	13	3	2	8	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	13	11	1	1	+26	34
2	Rangers	12	9	2	1	+19	29
3	Motherwell	12	7	1	4	+4	22
4	Aberdeen	13	4	5	4	-2	17
5	ST Johnstone	11	3	4	4	-11	13
6	Hibernian	13	3	3	7	-10	12
7	Livingston	13	2	4	7	-7	10
8	Kilmarnock	13	3	1	9	-12	10
9	Hamilton	12	1	5	6	-11	8
10	Ross County	13	1	5	7	-20	8
11	Hearts	12	1	4	7	-13	7
12	St Mirren	12	1	2	9	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.