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Super League
Referee: A Evangelou
Panathinaikos
T S S U U
3–1
Full-time
Panserraikos
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Panserraikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Super League · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
25%
60%
Both score Ø 33%
25%
40%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%
22 Shots 12
11 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 10. · Panserraikos 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 OFI Crete 6 3 2 1 +1 11
3 AEK 4 3 1 0 +8 10
4 Olympiakos 6 3 1 2 +4 10
5 Aris Thessalonikis 5 2 2 1 +1 8
6 Aris 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Atromitos 5 1 3 1 +0 6
8 Asteras Tripolis 6 1 3 2 -1 6
9 Panetolikos 5 1 2 2 +0 5
10 Panathinaikos 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Lamia 4 1 2 1 -2 5
12 Athens Kallithea 4 0 3 1 -1 3
13 Levadeiakos 5 0 3 2 -4 3
14 Volos NFC 5 1 0 4 -8 3
15 Panserraikos 5 0 1 4 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Panserraikos
1–0 Tetê
10′
15′
Jefté Betancor 1–1
M. Fares
36′
🟨 Nikola Terzić
Half-time 1–1
49′
🟨 Luka Gugeshashvili
Fotis Ioannidis ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
51′
65′
🟨 Jefté Betancor
66′
🔁 M. Deletić
↦ N. Terzić
F. Đuričić 🔁
↦ F. Pellistri
67′
68′
🟨 Francisco Perruzzi
G. Baldock 🔁
↦ G. Vagiannidis
68′
71′
🔁 Z. Chatzistravos
↦ M. Tomás
71′
🔁 P. Gigić
↦ Jefté Betancor
A. Jeremejeff 🔁
↦ A. Bakasetas
76′
Filip Đuričić 🟨
81′
2–1 F. Đuričić
Tetê
81′
82′
🔁 P. Deligiannidis
↦ J. Salazar
82′
🔁 S. Petavrakis
↦ M. Fares
N. Maksimović 🔁
↦ A. Ounahi
87′
A. Gnezda Čerin 🔁
↦ F. Ioannidis
88′
3–1 F. Đuričić
88′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
69 B. Drągowski G
2 G. Vagiannidis D
15 S. Ingason D
21 T. Jedvaj D
25 F. Mladenović D
55 Willian Arão M
8 A. Ounahi M
10 Tetê M
11 A. Bakasetas M
28 F. Pellistri M
7 F. Ioannidis F
Bench (9)
31 F. Đuričić
32 G. Baldock
29 A. Jeremejeff
20 N. Maksimović
16 A. Gnezda Čerin
27 G. Kotsiras
5 B. Schenkeveld
17 D. Mancini
1 Y. Lodygin

Coach: D. Alonso

Panserraikos

4-2-3-1
23 L. Gugeshashvili G
2 T. Koutsogoulas
31 E. Bergström D
91 J. Davidson D
93 M. Fares D
26 P. Staikos M
5 F. Perruzzi M
77 J. Salazar M
11 M. Tomás M
24 N. Terzić M
10 Jefté Betancor F
Bench (9)
7 M. Deletić
18 Z. Chatzistravos
9 P. Gigić
64 P. Deligiannidis
3 S. Petavrakis
8 A. Liasos
21 M. Sofianos
13 P. Katsikas
4 A. Karasalidis

Coach: Juan Ferrando

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,18
U
6,62
B
13,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,40
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Evangelou · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.