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Super League

Referee: A Papapetrou

Olympiakos

S S S S S

5–1

Full-time

Asteras Tripolis

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Asteras Tripolis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,5

This season — Super League · 25/26 matches

Win Ø 59%

80%

38%

Points per game

2,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

44%

19%

Both score Ø 34%

40%

27%

Average goals

2,1

1,9

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%

12 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

9 Corners 3

3 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · Asteras Tripolis 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	25	20	5	0	+31	65
2	PAOK	26	15	5	6	+23	50
3	AEK	26	14	3	9	+13	45
4	Giannina	27	13	6	8	+11	45
5	Panathinaikos	27	13	3	11	+19	42
6	Aris Thessalonikis	25	12	6	7	+6	42
7	Aris	25	12	6	7	+6	42
8	OFI Crete	27	8	12	7	-1	36
9	Asteras Tripolis	26	10	5	11	+0	35
10	Volos NFC	26	9	5	12	-5	32
11	Ionikos	27	7	8	12	-7	29
12	Panetolikos	27	8	5	14	-19	29
13	Atromitos	26	5	5	16	-24	20
14	Lamia	27	4	7	16	-17	19
15	Apollon	27	2	9	16	-36	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	13	11	2	0	+16	35
2	Panathinaikos	14	10	2	2	+23	32
3	PAOK	14	8	3	3	+11	27
4	Giannina	14	8	3	3	+7	27
5	AEK	12	8	0	4	+11	24
6	Aris Thessalonikis	12	6	4	2	+4	22
7	Aris	12	6	4	2	+4	22
8	Asteras Tripolis	14	7	1	6	+2	22
9	Ionikos	13	5	4	4	+2	19
10	OFI Crete	13	4	6	3	-1	18
11	Volos NFC	13	5	1	7	-4	16
12	Panetolikos	14	4	3	7	-6	15
13	Atromitos	12	4	2	6	-3	14
14	Apollon	14	1	7	6	-12	10
15	Lamia	13	2	3	8	-9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	12	9	3	0	+15	30
2	PAOK	12	7	2	3	+12	23
3	AEK	14	6	3	5	+2	21
4	Aris Thessalonikis	13	6	2	5	+2	20
5	Aris	13	6	2	5	+2	20
6	Giannina	13	5	3	5	+4	18
7	OFI Crete	14	4	6	4	+0	18
8	Volos NFC	13	4	4	5	-1	16
9	Panetolikos	13	4	2	7	-13	14
10	Asteras Tripolis	12	3	4	5	-2	13
11	Panathinaikos	13	3	1	9	-4	10
12	Lamia	14	2	4	8	-8	10
13	Ionikos	14	2	4	8	-9	10
14	Atromitos	14	1	3	10	-21	6
15	Apollon	13	1	2	10	-24	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.