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Super League
Referee: I Papadopoulos
1–0
Full-time
OFI Crete
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Super League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 28%
25%
31%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
25%
38%
Both score Ø 47%
38%
56%
Average goals
1,9
2,1
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 9. · OFI Crete 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 16 14 2 0 +20 44
2 AEK 16 10 3 3 +12 33
3 PAOK 16 9 1 6 +10 28
4 Giannina 17 8 4 5 +9 28
5 Aris Thessalonikis 15 8 3 4 +4 27
6 Aris 15 8 3 4 +4 27
7 OFI Crete 16 5 9 2 +3 24
8 Panathinaikos 15 7 2 6 +12 23
9 Asteras Tripolis 16 4 5 7 -1 17
10 Ionikos 18 4 5 9 -8 17
11 Volos NFC 15 4 3 8 -6 15
12 Panetolikos 16 4 3 9 -15 15
13 Lamia 16 2 5 9 -8 11
14 Atromitos 16 2 3 11 -20 9
15 Apollon 13 1 5 7 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis OFI Crete
9′
🟨 Bruce Kamau
1–0 Adrián Riera ⚽
David Carmona
38′
Half-time 1–0
K. Soni 🔁
↦ Eneko Capilla
46′
46′
🔁 K. Tsilianidis
↦ B. Kamau
58′
🟨 Konstantinos Giannoulis
58′
🔁 M. van Duinen
↦ A. Nabi
60′
🟨 Luc Castaignos
62′
🟨 Praxitelis Vouros
64′
🔁 F. Grivas
↦ F. Gallegos
65′
🔁 J. Neira
↦ L. Castaignos
Léo Tilica 🔁
↦ Adrián Riera
67′
Xesc Regis 🔁
↦ Sito
67′
Juan Munafo 🟨
68′
Georgios Kanellopoulos 🟨
73′
José Luis Valiente 🔁
↦ G. Kanellopoulos
77′
86′
🔁 P. Staikos
↦ J. de Guzmán
Jeronimo Barrales 🟨
88′
M. Iglesias 🔁
↦ J. Munafo
91′
93′
🟨 Triantafyllos Pasalidis
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
1 N. Papadopoulos G
18 Pichu Atienza D
29 F. Álvarez D
12 David Carmona D
45 G. Christopoulos D
8 J. Munafo M
10 Eneko Capilla M
40 Sito F
23 Adrián Riera F
24 G. Kanellopoulos M
9 J. Barrales F
Bench (9)
27 K. Soni
7 Léo Tilica
11 Xesc Regis
6 José Luis Valiente
17 M. Iglesias
2 Rubén García
42 G. Antzoulas
33 F. Sgouris
22 Asier Benito

Coach: M. Rastavac

OFI Crete

4-2-3-1
24 B. Waterman G
18 K. Giannoulis D
14 P. Vouros D
4 T. Pasalidis D
33 J. de Guzmán M
38 K. Balogiannis M
30 L. Castaignos F
16 F. Gallegos M
10 A. Nabi F
7 L. Lamprou F
11 B. Kamau F
Bench (9)
19 K. Tsilianidis
9 M. van Duinen
28 F. Grivas
8 J. Neira
26 P. Staikos
34 N. Korovesis
5 V. Selimović
32 D. Sotiriou
3 O. Lymperakis

Coach: N. Nioplias

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,18
B
4,57
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
2,40
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

I Papadopoulos · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
32,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.