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Super League

Referee: K Tsetsilas

Asteras Tripolis

U U U U T

0–2

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — Super League · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

25%

67%

Both score Ø 29%

25%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

18 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 1

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 11. · Aris Thessalonikis 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panetolikos	5	3	1	1	+4	10
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Olympiakos	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	PAOK	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Atromitos	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Aris	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	AEK	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Volos NFC	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Aris Thessalonikis	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Giannina	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Asteras Tripolis	4	0	3	1	-2	3
12	OFI Crete	4	1	0	3	-4	3
13	Lamia	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Ionikos	4	0	1	3	-6	1
15	Levadeiakos	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Panetolikos	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	PAOK	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Panathinaikos	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Aris Thessalonikis	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Aris	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Atromitos	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Giannina	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	AEK	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Volos NFC	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Asteras Tripolis	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Ionikos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Lamia	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	OFI Crete	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Volos NFC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Panetolikos	3	1	1	1	+0	4
3	AEK	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Atromitos	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Aris	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	OFI Crete	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Asteras Tripolis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	PAOK	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Lamia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Olympiakos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Levadeiakos	5	0	1	4	-8	1
13	Aris Thessalonikis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Ionikos	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Giannina	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.