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Super League

Referee: G Kabakov

Panathinaikos

S U S S T

1–1

Full-time

AEK

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

This season — Super League · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 54%

52%

56%

Points per game

1,8

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

24%

48%

Both score Ø 40%

32%

48%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%

4 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 6. · AEK 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	25	19	5	1	+46	62
2	Aris Thessalonikis	24	14	5	5	+17	47
3	Aris	24	14	5	5	+17	47
4	AEK	25	14	5	6	+10	47
5	PAOK	25	13	7	5	+23	46
6	Panathinaikos	25	13	5	7	+11	44
7	Asteras Tripolis	26	12	8	6	+3	44
8	Volos NFC	25	7	9	9	-8	30
9	Giannina	26	6	9	11	-5	27
10	Atromitos	26	6	9	11	-14	27
11	Apollon	26	7	4	15	-10	25
12	Lamia	25	5	7	13	-22	22
13	OFI Crete	25	5	4	16	-22	19
14	Panetolikos	26	3	9	14	-20	18
15	Larisa	25	2	7	16	-26	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	13	11	2	0	+29	35
2	PAOK	12	8	4	0	+19	28
3	Asteras Tripolis	13	8	3	2	+5	27
4	Aris Thessalonikis	12	7	2	3	+8	23
5	Aris	12	7	2	3	+8	23
6	Panathinaikos	12	6	3	3	+6	21
7	AEK	13	5	4	4	+2	19
8	Atromitos	13	4	5	4	-1	17
9	Volos NFC	12	3	4	5	-4	13
10	Panetolikos	13	3	3	7	-6	12
11	Lamia	12	3	3	6	-8	12
12	Giannina	13	2	5	6	-5	11
13	Apollon	13	3	1	9	-8	10
14	OFI Crete	13	2	3	8	-14	9
15	Larisa	13	1	5	7	-12	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	12	9	1	2	+8	28
2	Olympiakos	12	8	3	1	+17	27
3	Aris Thessalonikis	12	7	3	2	+9	24
4	Aris	12	7	3	2	+9	24
5	Panathinaikos	13	7	2	4	+5	23
6	PAOK	13	5	3	5	+4	18
7	Asteras Tripolis	13	4	5	4	-2	17
8	Volos NFC	13	4	5	4	-4	17
9	Giannina	13	4	4	5	+0	16
10	Apollon	13	4	3	6	-2	15
11	OFI Crete	12	3	1	8	-8	10
12	Atromitos	13	2	4	7	-13	10
13	Lamia	13	2	4	7	-14	10
14	Panetolikos	13	0	6	7	-14	6
15	Larisa	12	1	2	9	-14	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.