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Super League
Referee: B Madden
Panathinaikos
S S S U S
2–1
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,7
This season — Super League · 23/22 matches
Win Ø 69%
52%
86%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
22%
59%
Both score Ø 36%
30%
41%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,1
2,5
Conceded
0,7
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
5 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Panathinaikos 5. · Olympiakos 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 22 19 3 0 +47 60
2 Aris Thessalonikis 22 13 4 5 +14 43
3 Aris 22 13 4 5 +14 43
4 AEK 23 13 4 6 +8 43
5 Panathinaikos 23 12 5 6 +11 41
6 PAOK 22 11 7 4 +18 40
7 Asteras Tripolis 24 11 7 6 +2 40
8 Volos NFC 24 6 9 9 -10 27
9 Atromitos 23 6 8 9 -8 26
10 Giannina 23 5 8 10 -4 23
11 Apollon 23 6 4 13 -8 22
12 OFI Crete 23 5 4 14 -20 19
13 Lamia 21 3 6 12 -20 15
14 Panetolikos 24 2 9 13 -20 15
15 Larisa 21 1 6 14 -24 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Olympiakos
1–0 Maurício
Y. Sankharé
6′
22′
🟨 Mady Camara
Fotis Ioannidis 🟨
32′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Valbuena
↦ M. Vrousai
Sotiris Alexandropoulos 🟨
52′
56′
🔁 O. Ba
↦ S. Papastathopoulos
56′
🔁 Y. El-Arabi
↦ K. Fortounis
Carlitos López 🔁
↦ A. Kampetsis
66′
C. Niasse 🔁
↦ S. Alexandropoulos
70′
2–0 Y. Sankharé
73′
76′
🟨 Ousseynou Ba
76′
🔁 G. Masouras
↦ Mohamed Camara
76′
🔁 H. Cuypers
↦ Koka
Aitor Cantalapiedra 🔁
↦ Y. NGbakoto
78′
82′
Y. El-Arabi 2–1
Sokratis Dioudis 🟨
84′
90′
🟨 Ousseynou Ba
90′
🟥 Ousseynou Ba
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
1 S. Dioudis G
5 B. Schenkeveld D
4 Fran Vélez D
3 Juan Carlos D
6 Y. Sankharé M
58 Y. Mollo M
88 Maurício M
55 S. Alexandropoulos M
23 Y. N'Gbakoto M
99 A. Kampetsis F
27 F. Ioannidis F
Bench (9)
10 Carlitos López
17 C. Niasse
22 Aitor Cantalapiedra
14 F. Sánchez
19 L. Villafáñez
15 V. Xenopoulos
44 A. Poungouras
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis
11 T. Chatzigiovanis

Coach: L. Bölöni

Olympiakos

4-3-3
1 José Sá G
15 S. Papastathopoulos D
3 Rúben Semedo D
45 O. Reabciuk D
7 K. Fortounis M
5 A. Bouchalakis M
8 Tiago Silva M
14 T. Androutsos D
4 Mohamed Camara M
9 Koka F
17 M. Vrousai M
Bench (9)
28 M. Valbuena
24 O. Ba
11 Y. El-Arabi
19 G. Masouras
20 H. Cuypers
25 J. Holebas
72 K. Lala
97 L. Ranđelović
88 K. Tzolakis

Coach: Pedro Martins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,12
U
3,31
B
1,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,27
U2,5
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Madden · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.