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Super League
Referee: A Koutsiaftis
2–4
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,5
This season — Super League · 32/36 matches
Win Ø 55%
28%
81%
Points per game
1,2
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 51%
59%
42%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,4
2,1
Conceded
1,4
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 8. · Olympiakos 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 36 29 7 0 +59 94
2 PAOK 35 21 8 6 +28 71
3 AEK 36 20 10 6 +30 70
4 Panathinaikos 35 14 13 8 +9 55
5 Atromitos 33 11 9 13 -2 42
6 Asteras Tripolis 33 10 10 13 +0 40
7 OFI Crete 35 11 7 17 -7 40
8 Aris Thessalonikis 32 9 11 12 -1 38
9 Aris 33 9 11 13 -3 38
10 Larisa 33 9 11 13 -9 38
11 Lamia 33 6 17 10 -13 35
12 Xanthi 33 9 8 16 -14 35
13 Volos NFC 33 9 7 17 -28 34
14 Panionios 33 7 8 18 -28 29
15 Panetolikos 33 5 11 17 -21 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.