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NM-cupen

Referee: M Kellerhals

Bjarg

T S T S S

6–1

Full-time

Stabaek

U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bjarg Stabaek

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

This season — NM-cupen · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

5,0

Scored

2,0

4,5

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Bjarg 12. · Stabaek 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tromsdalen Uil	3	3	0	0	+16	9
2	Stabaek	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Levanger	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Kongsvinger	3	2	0	1	+6	6
5	Lysekloster	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Aalesund	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Lyn	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Eik-Tønsberg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Mjondalen	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	Bjarg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	Kjelsås	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	Brattvåg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	hodd	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	Odd	2	1	1	0	+2	4
18	Strommen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
19	Brann	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Follo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Hønefoss	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	Vard	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Arendal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	Stjørdals-Blink	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Asker	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Start	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Moss	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Trygg/Lade	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Ulfstind	2	1	0	1	-2	3
32	Junkeren	2	1	0	1	-2	3
33	Gamle Oslo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
34	Asane	2	1	0	1	-2	3
35	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Djerv	2	0	1	1	-4	1
37	Alta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Jerv	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Strindheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Gneist	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Valerenga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Ranheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Eidsvold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Madla	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Flint	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Rana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Ull/Kisa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Sogndal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Førde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Træff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Skeid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Raufoss	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Vigør	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Brumunddal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Vestfossen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	Bærum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
68	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
69	Finnsnes	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lysekloster	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Bjarg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Kjelsås	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Eik-Tønsberg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Follo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Hønefoss	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Arendal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Asker	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Trygg/Lade	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Ulfstind	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Junkeren	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Gamle Oslo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Brattvåg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Strommen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Djerv	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Strindheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Gneist	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Valerenga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Stjørdals-Blink	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Flekkerøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Madla	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Råde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Flint	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Kongsvinger	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Ull/Kisa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Førde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Træff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Vigør	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Mjondalen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
36	Brumunddal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
37	Vestfossen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	Bærum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
39	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
40	Finnsnes	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tromsdalen Uil	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Kongsvinger	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Stabaek	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Levanger	2	2	0	0	+8	6
5	Mjondalen	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Aalesund	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Lyn	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	hodd	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Odd	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	Brann	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Vard	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Brattvåg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Strommen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Stjørdals-Blink	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Eik-Tønsberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Start	2	1	0	1	+0	3
22	Moss	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Asane	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Alta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Jerv	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Ranheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Eidsvold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Rana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Sogndal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Skeid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Raufoss	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
36	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.