OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Moss
Sogndal
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Valerenga
|
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | +29 | 42 |
| 2 |
Bryne
|
18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | +10 | 34 |
| 3 |
Egersund
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | +4 | 32 |
| 4 |
Sogndal
|
18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +12 | 30 |
| 5 |
Stabaek
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +4 | 29 |
| 6 |
Moss
|
17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 7 |
Lyn
|
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | +15 | 27 |
| 8 |
Kongsvinger
|
16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | +0 | 27 |
| 9 |
Raufoss
|
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 23 |
| 10 |
Levanger
|
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 21 |
| 11 |
Ranheim
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 |
Aalesund
|
18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -11 | 18 |
| 13 |
Asane
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -9 | 17 |
| 14 |
Start
|
18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -15 | 16 |
| 15 |
Mjondalen
|
18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -9 | 15 |
| 16 |
Sandnes ULF
|
18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -28 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
I. Kukleci
M. Andresen
A. Potur
B. Hegland
Coach: T. Myhre
M. Sjølstad
F. Eriksson
J. Flaten
E. Flataker
E. Baidoo
Coach: T. Flo
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Aalesund
Moss
Moss
Valerenga
Stabaek
Moss
Asane
Moss
Moss
Bryne
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.