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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Haapakoski
Moss
S S S T T
3–0
Full-time
Sogndal
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 17/18 matches
Win Ø 49%
53%
44%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
65%
44%
Both score Ø 55%
53%
56%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 6. · Sogndal 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valerenga 19 13 3 3 +29 42
2 Bryne 18 11 1 6 +10 34
3 Egersund 19 9 5 5 +4 32
4 Sogndal 18 8 6 4 +12 30
5 Stabaek 18 8 5 5 +4 29
6 Moss 17 9 2 6 +2 29
7 Lyn 17 7 6 4 +15 27
8 Kongsvinger 16 7 6 3 +0 27
9 Raufoss 19 6 5 8 -5 23
10 Levanger 19 4 9 6 +3 21
11 Ranheim 18 5 6 7 -2 21
12 Aalesund 18 5 3 10 -11 18
13 Asane 18 4 5 9 -9 17
14 Start 18 4 4 10 -15 16
15 Mjondalen 18 3 6 9 -9 15
16 Sandnes ULF 18 3 4 11 -28 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moss Sogndal
13′
🟨 L. Jendal
1–0 T. Jakobsen
14′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 M. Sjølstad
own goal
53′
60′
🟨 E. Flataker
61′
🔁 J. Robertsen
↦ E. Baidoo
61′
🔁 I. Twum
↦ J. Flaten
61′
🔁 J. Berg Nundal
↦ O. Hintsa
2–1 Benarfa
64′
S. Pedersen 🔁
↦ H. Krohg
65′
A. Lajqi 🔁
↦ Benarfa
65′
E. Björgólfs­son 🔁
↦ T. Jakobsen
74′
B. Isufi 🔁
↦ B. Hegland
75′
79′
🔁 K. Skaanes
↦ Ó. Borgþórsson
79′
🔁 E. Oluwafemi
↦ E. Flataker
L. Mendy 🔁
↦ A. Potur
82′
S. Elmi 🟨
88′
93′
🟨 J. Robertsen
95′
🟨 M. Hoyland
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Moss

1 M. Ranmark
31 K. Harrison
5 I. Kukleci
2 M. Andresen
18 S. Elmi
20 A. Potur
6 A. Håpnes
10 B. Hegland
11 T. Jakobsen
49 Benarfa
16 H. Krohg
Bench (9)
9 S. Pedersen
14 A. Lajqi
19 E. Björgólfs­son
26 B. Isufi
17 L. Mendy
8 V. Hellestø
29 K. Mayonga
12 J. Sundling
13 M. Cassidy

Coach: T. Myhre

Sogndal

1 L. Jendal
4 D. Arrocha
17 M. Sjølstad
5 K. Paulsen
6 M. Høyland
2 F. Eriksson
8 J. Flaten
77 Ó. Borgþórsson
9 O. Hintsa
30 E. Flataker
7 E. Baidoo
Bench (7)
3 J. Robertsen
20 I. Twum
31 J. Berg Nundal
10 K. Skaanes
16 E. Oluwafemi
29 K. Steinset
35 D. Saetren

Coach: T. Flo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.