OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Aalesund
Mjondalen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Valerenga
|
24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | +41 | 55 |
| 2 |
Bryne
|
24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | +15 | 46 |
| 3 |
Moss
|
23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | +9 | 39 |
| 4 |
Egersund
|
23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 38 |
| 5 |
Raufoss
|
24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | +1 | 36 |
| 6 |
Lyn
|
22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | +16 | 35 |
| 7 |
Kongsvinger
|
22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | -3 | 35 |
| 8 |
Stabaek
|
24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | +0 | 33 |
| 9 |
Ranheim
|
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | +1 | 31 |
| 10 |
Sogndal
|
24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 30 |
| 11 |
Asane
|
24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | -8 | 27 |
| 12 |
Start
|
24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 |
Levanger
|
24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | -1 | 25 |
| 14 |
Aalesund
|
24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 |
Mjondalen
|
24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -13 | 22 |
| 16 |
Sandnes ULF
|
24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | -39 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
T. Larsen
M. Nielsen
K. Nessø
H. Hammer
D. Jóhannsson
M. Rafferty
S. Kilen
Coach: K. Rekdal
S. Øverby
Coach: K. Nicol
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Valerenga
Aalesund
Kongsvinger
Aalesund
Aalesund
Sandnes ULF
Lyn
Aalesund
Aalesund
Bryne
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.