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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: H Sletner
Aalesund
T U S S T
0–1
Full-time
Mjondalen
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Mjondalen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 25%
29%
21%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 14. · Mjondalen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valerenga 24 17 4 3 +41 55
2 Bryne 24 14 4 6 +15 46
3 Moss 23 12 3 8 +9 39
4 Egersund 23 11 5 7 +3 38
5 Raufoss 24 10 6 8 +1 36
6 Lyn 22 9 8 5 +16 35
7 Kongsvinger 22 9 8 5 -3 35
8 Stabaek 24 9 6 9 +0 33
9 Ranheim 24 8 7 9 +1 31
10 Sogndal 24 8 6 10 +1 30
11 Asane 24 7 6 11 -8 27
12 Start 24 7 6 11 -12 27
13 Levanger 24 5 10 9 -1 25
14 Aalesund 24 7 4 13 -11 25
15 Mjondalen 24 5 7 12 -13 22
16 Sandnes ULF 24 4 4 16 -39 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Mjondalen
S. Holte 🔁
↦ S. Rogers
21′
Half-time 0–0
P. Ngongo 🟨
50′
Cláudio Braga 🔁
↦ S. Kilen
61′
J. Kitolano 🔁
↦ M. Rafferty
61′
62′
🟨 J. Solberg
62′
🔁 M. Pedersen
↦ M. Ovenstad
62′
🔁 A. Heredia-Randen
↦ V. Moberg
67′
🟨 M. Bringaker
75′
🔁 A. Conteh
↦ N. Semmen
83′
🔁 E. Brenden
↦ J. Skau
87′
🟨 A. Heredia-Randen
93′
A. Conteh 0–1
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

26 T. Larsen
2 M. Nielsen
3 V. Međimorec
44 S. Rogers
7 K. Nessø
6 H. Hammer
11 D. Jóhannsson
66 J. Seehusen
22 M. Rafferty
15 S. Kilen
19 P. Ngongo
Bench (9)
33 S. Holte
10 Cláudio Braga
25 J. Kitolano
8 H. Melland
13 A. Gülstorff
17 N. Solskjær
28 E. Kolve
29 B. Kristensen
32 S. Senior-Hårvik

Coach: K. Rekdal

Mjondalen

1 T. Kinn
6 J. Solberg
5 S. Øverby
2 S. Eriksen
7 M. Ovenstad
10 V. Moberg
45 M. Olsen
8 O. Sveen
23 J. Skau
9 M. Bringaker
14 N. Semmen
Bench (7)
24 M. Pedersen
25 A. Heredia-Randen
20 A. Conteh
19 E. Brenden
13 A. Fagereng
22 F. Holst-Larsen
26 A. Lukić

Coach: K. Nicol

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.