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Ligue 2

Referee: A Valnet

Troyes

T T U T T

2–1

Full-time

Metz

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

0,2

2,3

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

0,2

2,3

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

21% Possession 79%

6 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 18. · Metz 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	7	5	0	2	+6	15
2	Grenoble	7	4	1	2	+6	13
3	Lorient	7	4	1	2	+5	13
4	Dunkerque	7	4	1	2	+1	13
5	Metz	6	3	3	0	+9	12
6	Annecy	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Bastia	7	3	3	1	+2	12
8	Amiens	7	4	0	3	+1	12
9	Laval	7	3	2	2	+5	11
10	Pau FC	7	3	2	2	+2	11
11	Guingamp	6	3	1	2	+3	10
12	Ajaccio	7	3	1	3	-1	10
13	Caen	6	2	1	3	-3	7
14	Red Star	7	2	1	4	-7	7
15	Clermont	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Martigues	7	1	1	5	-13	4
17	Rodez	7	1	0	6	-5	3
18	Troyes	6	0	1	5	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Amiens	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Grenoble	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Lorient	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Pau FC	3	3	0	0	+5	9
5	Ajaccio	3	3	0	0	+4	9
6	Dunkerque	4	3	0	1	+1	9
7	Bastia	4	2	2	0	+2	8
8	Caen	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Metz	4	1	3	0	+6	6
10	Paris FC	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Annecy	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	Guingamp	3	1	1	1	+3	4
13	Laval	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Red Star	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Clermont	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Martigues	4	0	1	3	-6	1
17	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Rodez	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	Laval	4	2	1	1	+4	7
3	Metz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Annecy	4	1	3	0	+2	6
5	Guingamp	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Dunkerque	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Bastia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Lorient	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Red Star	4	1	1	2	-3	4
10	Rodez	4	1	0	3	+0	3
11	Grenoble	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Clermont	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Martigues	3	1	0	2	-7	3
14	Pau FC	4	0	2	2	-3	2
15	Ajaccio	4	0	1	3	-5	1
16	Troyes	4	0	1	3	-6	1
17	Caen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Amiens	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.