Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Leeds
Coventry
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
West Brom
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | +5.3 | 16 |
| 2 |
Sunderland
|
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +9 | +4.1 | 15 |
| 3 |
Blackburn
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | +1.5 | 15 |
| 4 |
Sheffield United
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +6 | +3.3 | 14 |
| 5 |
Burnley
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +9 | -0.8 | 13 |
| 6 |
Leeds
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | +7.4 | 11 |
| 7 |
Norwich
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | +2.6 | 11 |
| 8 |
Swansea
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | -3.3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Watford
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | -2.1 | 10 |
| 10 |
Oxford
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | -0.9 | 9 |
| 11 |
Derby
|
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +0 | -1.8 | 9 |
| 12 |
Middlesbrough
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | +6.3 | 8 |
| 13 |
Plymouth
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -8.6 | 8 |
| 14 |
Bristol City
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -4 | -0.1 | 8 |
| 15 |
QPR
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | -2.4 | 7 |
| 16 |
Sheffield Weds
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | -1.8 | 7 |
| 17 |
Luton
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | +2.5 | 7 |
| 18 |
Hull
|
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | +0.5 | 6 |
| 19 |
Stoke
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -5 | -1.4 | 6 |
| 20 |
Millwall
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +0 | +4.4 | 5 |
| 21 |
Coventry
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | +3.8 | 5 |
| 22 |
Preston
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | -5.8 | 5 |
| 23 |
Portsmouth
|
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | -7.2 | 3 |
| 24 |
Cardiff
|
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -12 | -5.6 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
I. Meslier
G
J. Bogle
D
J. Rodon
D
P. Struijk
D
J. Firpo
D
E. Ampadu
M
W. Gnonto
M
B. Aaronson
M
L. Ramazani
M
Coach: D. Farke
B. Wilson
G
J. Latibeaudiere
D
B. Thomas
D
L. Kitching
D
J. Dasilva
D
J. Eccles
M
B. Sheaf
M
M. van Ewijk
M
J. Rudoni
M
E. Mason-Clark
M
E. Simms
F
Coach: M. Robins
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Cardiff
Leeds
Leeds
Burnley
Leeds
Hull
Sheffield Weds
Leeds
West Brom
Leeds
G Ward · 178 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.