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Serie A

Referee: A Rapuano

Bologna

T U U U S

1–1

Full-time

Atalanta

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

60%

100%

Both score Ø 70%

80%

60%

Average goals

2,8

4,2

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,6

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,10 xG 2,03

36% Possession 64%

5 Shots 23

1 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 9

3 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bologna 13. · Atalanta 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Juventus	6	3	3	0	+9	+4.4	12
2	Milan	6	3	2	1	+7	+4.7	11
3	Inter	6	3	2	1	+6	+3.8	11
4	Torino	5	3	2	0	+3	-1.1	11
5	Napoli	5	3	1	1	+5	+2.3	10
6	Udinese	6	3	1	2	-1	-4.2	10
7	Empoli	5	2	3	0	+3	-1.4	9
8	Lazio	5	2	1	2	+1	+1.7	7
9	Roma	5	1	3	1	+2	+1.3	6
10	Verona	5	2	0	3	+0	-2.0	6
11	Fiorentina	5	1	3	1	+0	+3.0	6
12	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	-1	+1.5	6
13	Bologna	5	1	3	1	-2	+1.0	6
14	Parma	5	1	2	2	-1	-0.8	5
15	Como	5	1	2	2	-3	-0.5	5
16	Genoa	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.9	5
17	Lecce	6	1	2	3	-8	-3.1	5
18	Venezia	5	1	1	3	-5	-3.1	4
19	Monza	5	0	3	2	-2	-3.8	3
20	Cagliari	5	0	2	3	-7	+0.0	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Milan	3	2	1	0	+7	+4.3	7
2	Lazio	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.9	7
3	Inter	3	2	0	1	+5	+1.1	6
4	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
5	Udinese	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.6	6
6	Juventus	3	1	2	0	+3	+1.1	5
7	Fiorentina	3	1	2	0	+1	+3.8	5
8	Torino	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.9	4
9	Parma	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.0	4
10	Lecce	3	1	1	1	-3	-0.9	4
11	Roma	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.5	3
12	Venezia	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.0	3
13	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
14	Verona	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.6	3
15	Bologna	2	0	2	0	+0	+2.7	2
16	Empoli	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.3	2
17	Genoa	4	0	2	2	-5	-3.0	2
18	Cagliari	4	0	2	2	-6	-0.1	2
19	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
20	Monza	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+6	+3.3	7
2	Empoli	3	2	1	0	+3	-1.2	7
3	Torino	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.9	7
4	Inter	3	1	2	0	+1	+2.7	5
5	Napoli	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.0	4
6	Milan	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.4	4
7	Udinese	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.6	4
8	Bologna	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.6	4
9	Como	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.4	4
10	Verona	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.4	3
11	Roma	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.8	3
12	Atalanta	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.0	3
13	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	3
14	Monza	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.9	2
15	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.8	1
16	Parma	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
17	Lecce	3	0	1	2	-5	-2.2	1
18	Venezia	3	0	1	2	-6	-4.0	1
19	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
20	Lazio	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.