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OBOS-ligaen
Aalesund
S S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Mjondalen
U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Mjondalen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,8
1,2
Scored
2,8
0,7
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
100%
20%
Points per game
3,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 35%
50%
20%
Average goals
3,8
0,8
Scored
3,3
0,6
Conceded
0,5
0,2
Goal diff per game
+2,8
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 1. · Mjondalen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 4 4 0 0 +11 12
2 Viking 5 4 0 1 +7 12
3 Sandnes ULF 5 3 2 0 +3 11
4 Notodden 5 3 1 1 +4 10
5 Sogndal 4 2 2 0 +5 8
6 Ull/Kisa 5 2 2 1 +3 8
7 Mjondalen 5 1 4 0 +2 7
8 Asane 5 2 1 2 -3 7
9 Strommen 6 2 0 4 +2 6
10 Ham-Kam 6 1 3 2 -2 6
11 Levanger 5 1 1 3 -4 4
12 Floro 5 1 1 3 -8 4
13 Jerv 4 0 3 1 -2 3
14 Nest-Sotra 5 1 0 4 -6 3
15 Kongsvinger 5 1 0 4 -6 3
16 Tromsdalen Uil 4 0 2 2 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.