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Eliteserien
Referee: Sivert Amland
Aalesund
S T T U U
1–3
Full-time
Mjondalen
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Mjondalen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
0%
25%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
75%
25%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,0
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
3,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 1
3 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 14. · Mjondalen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Molde 4 4 0 0 +8 12
3 Kristiansund 4 2 2 0 +6 8
4 Stromsgodset 4 2 2 0 +2 8
5 Brann 4 2 1 1 +3 7
6 Valerenga 4 2 1 1 -1 7
7 Odd 4 2 0 2 +6 6
8 Mjondalen 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Stabaek 4 1 2 1 -1 5
10 Rosenborg 4 1 1 2 -1 4
11 Sandefjord 4 1 1 2 -2 4
12 Haugesund 4 1 1 2 -5 4
13 Start 4 0 2 2 -6 2
14 Aalesund 4 0 2 2 -8 2
15 Viking 4 0 1 3 -6 1
16 Sarpsborg 08 4 0 0 4 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Mjondalen
8′
🟨 Stian Aasmundsen
12′
🟨 Lars Olden Larsen
28′
S. Ibrahim 0–1
31′
V. Dragsnes 0–2
A. Hansen
41′
🟨 Tonny Brochmann
Half-time 0–2
N. Castro 🔁
↦ M. Karlsbakk
46′
S. Haugen 🔁
↦ V. Fiskerstrand
46′
Sigurd Haugen 🟨
48′
55′
🔁 S. Liseth
↦ C. Gauseth
55′
🔁 M. Ovenstad
↦ T. Brochmann
Parfait Bizoza 🟨
60′
S. Sno 🔁
↦ P. Larsen
64′
D. Klinkenberg 🔁
↦ J. Hatlehol
64′
64′
🔁 F. Brustad
↦ S. Ibrahim
1–2 N. Castro
83′
84′
🔁 D. Þór­halls­son
↦ L. Larsen
84′
🔁 Q. Jansen
↦ J. Solberg
Sigurd Haugen 🟨
89′
Sigurd Haugen 🟥
89′
Jonas Gronner 🟨
90′
97′
S. Liseth 1–3
M. Ovenstad
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Aalesund

3-4-3
1 A. Lie G
5 O. Lie D
4 J. Grønner D
15 S. Sæthre D
18 D. Ólafsson M
16 J. Hatlehol M
20 P. Bizoza M
19 P. Larsen M
11 S. Nordli F
41 M. Karlsbakk F
36 V. Fiskerstrand F
Bench (7)
9 N. Castro
22 S. Haugen
2 S. Sno
6 D. Klinkenberg
32 K. Ødven
25 G. Kongshavn
38 I. Määttä

Coach: L. Bohinen

Mjondalen

3-5-2
1 S. Makani G
6 J. Solberg D
12 M. Nakkim D
23 S. Johansen D
5 A. Hansen
10 T. Brochmann M
11 C. Gauseth F
33 S. Aasmundsen M
3 V. Dragsnes M
7 L. Larsen M
22 S. Ibrahim F
Bench (7)
9 S. Liseth
17 M. Ovenstad
8 F. Brustad
16 D. Þór­halls­son
2 Q. Jansen
4 W. Sell
32 Jorge Vieira

Coach: V. Hansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sivert Amland · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.