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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: A Hatam

Valerenga

S S S S U

4–1

Full-time

Aalesund

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Aalesund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

3,2

1,7

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+0,8

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 50%

70%

30%

Points per game

2,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

61%

48%

Both score Ø 57%

65%

48%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

2,7

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Valerenga 1. · Aalesund 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valerenga	23	16	4	3	+38	52
2	Bryne	23	13	4	6	+14	43
3	Moss	22	11	3	8	+4	36
4	Egersund	22	10	5	7	+2	35
5	Raufoss	23	10	5	8	+1	35
6	Stabaek	23	9	6	8	+1	33
7	Lyn	21	8	8	5	+14	32
8	Kongsvinger	21	8	8	5	-4	32
9	Sogndal	23	8	6	9	+2	30
10	Ranheim	23	8	6	9	+1	30
11	Asane	23	7	6	10	-6	27
12	Levanger	23	5	10	8	+1	25
13	Aalesund	23	7	4	12	-8	25
14	Start	23	6	6	11	-14	24
15	Mjondalen	23	5	7	11	-12	22
16	Sandnes ULF	23	4	4	15	-34	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bryne	12	8	3	1	+12	27
2	Valerenga	11	8	1	2	+23	25
3	Moss	10	7	1	2	+8	22
4	Stabaek	12	6	2	4	+9	20
5	Kongsvinger	12	5	5	2	-1	20
6	Asane	12	5	4	3	+0	19
7	Sogndal	11	5	3	3	+9	18
8	Lyn	10	4	5	1	+14	17
9	Ranheim	11	5	2	4	+4	17
10	Raufoss	11	5	1	5	+0	16
11	Egersund	11	4	3	4	-2	15
12	Start	11	4	3	4	-3	15
13	Mjondalen	12	3	5	4	-1	14
14	Levanger	11	3	4	4	+4	13
15	Aalesund	12	3	2	7	-7	11
16	Sandnes ULF	12	3	2	7	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valerenga	12	8	3	1	+15	27
2	Egersund	11	6	2	3	+4	20
3	Raufoss	12	5	4	3	+1	19
4	Bryne	11	5	1	5	+2	16
5	Lyn	11	4	3	4	+0	15
6	Aalesund	11	4	2	5	-1	14
7	Moss	12	4	2	6	-4	14
8	Ranheim	12	3	4	5	-3	13
9	Stabaek	11	3	4	4	-8	13
10	Levanger	12	2	6	4	-3	12
11	Kongsvinger	9	3	3	3	-3	12
12	Sogndal	12	3	3	6	-7	12
13	Start	12	2	3	7	-11	9
14	Asane	11	2	2	7	-6	8
15	Mjondalen	11	2	2	7	-11	8
16	Sandnes ULF	11	1	2	8	-25	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.