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Süper Lig

Referee: M Türkmen

Samsunspor

S S T S S

4–3

Full-time

Goztep

U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Samsunspor Goztep

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 54%

67%

40%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

17%

40%

Both score Ø 20%

40%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

0,5

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,89 xG 1,29

70% Possession 30%

21 Shots 9

9 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Samsunspor 5. · Goztep 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	6	6	0	0	+15	+5.0	18
2	Fenerbahce	6	4	1	1	+9	+8.3	13
3	Besiktas	5	4	1	0	+7	+4.4	13
4	Buyuksehyr	6	4	1	1	+5	+0.3	13
5	Samsunspor	6	4	0	2	+4	+3.9	12
6	Goztep	5	2	3	0	+5	-0.1	9
7	Eyüpspor	6	2	3	1	+3	+1.6	9
8	Konyaspor	6	2	2	2	-1	-0.4	8
9	Sivasspor	7	2	2	3	-2	-5.0	8
10	Antalyaspor	6	2	2	2	-3	-4.4	8
11	Kasimpasa	6	1	3	2	-2	+0.5	6
12	Alanyaspor	6	1	3	2	-3	+1.9	6
13	Bodrumspor	6	2	0	4	-4	+0.4	6
14	Trabzonspor	5	0	5	0	+0	-1.4	5
15	Gaziantep	5	1	1	3	-3	-0.8	4
16	Rizespor	6	1	1	4	-11	-3.2	4
17	Kayserispor	5	0	3	2	-4	-2.3	3
18	Hatayspor	6	0	2	4	-6	-6.1	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	6	0	1	5	-9	-2.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+8	+7.7	9
2	Besiktas	3	3	0	0	+5	+4.0	9
3	Goztep	3	2	1	0	+5	-0.7	7
4	Antalyaspor	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.2	7
5	Buyuksehyr	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.5	6
6	Fenerbahce	3	2	0	1	+2	+5.1	6
7	Eyüpspor	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.0	4
8	Sivasspor	4	1	1	2	-1	-2.1	4
9	Bodrumspor	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.2	3
10	Alanyaspor	3	0	3	0	+0	+1.3	3
11	Samsunspor	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.7	3
12	Trabzonspor	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.0	2
13	Konyaspor	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.0	2
14	Kasimpasa	4	0	2	2	-3	+0.3	2
15	Kayserispor	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
16	Gaziantep	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.5	1
17	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.4	1
18	Rizespor	4	0	1	3	-7	-0.2	1
19	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	0	3	-7	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	3	3	0	0	+7	-2.7	9
2	Samsunspor	3	3	0	0	+5	+2.2	9
3	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+7	+3.2	7
4	Buyuksehyr	4	2	1	1	+0	-0.2	7
5	Konyaspor	3	2	0	1	+0	-1.4	6
6	Eyüpspor	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.5	5
7	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	4
8	Kasimpasa	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
9	Sivasspor	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.9	4
10	Trabzonspor	3	0	3	0	+0	-0.4	3
11	Gaziantep	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.2	3
12	Alanyaspor	3	1	0	2	-3	+0.6	3
13	Bodrumspor	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.2	3
14	Rizespor	2	1	0	1	-4	-3.0	3
15	Goztep	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
16	Kayserispor	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.6	2
17	Hatayspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-3.7	1
18	Ad. Demirspor	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.1	1
19	Antalyaspor	3	0	1	2	-5	-4.2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.