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Pro League

Referee: K Van Damme

Dender

S U T S T

1–1

Full-time

Anderlecht

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender Anderlecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,2

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 7/5 matches

Win Ø 42%

43%

40%

Points per game

1,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

86%

40%

Both score Ø 66%

71%

60%

Average goals

3,4

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,4

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,61 xG 1,46

39% Possession 61%

6 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dender 4. · Anderlecht 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	7	5	1	1	+6	+10.7	16
2	Charleroi	8	4	2	2	+6	+4.9	14
3	Club Brugge	6	3	2	1	+6	+5.9	11
4	Dender	7	3	2	2	+0	-1.0	11
5	Antwerp	4	3	0	1	+6	+1.4	9
6	Gent	6	3	0	3	+3	-2.3	9
7	Anderlecht	5	2	3	0	+3	+2.8	9
8	St. Gilloise	6	2	3	1	+2	+4.3	9
9	Standard	5	2	2	1	+1	-3.9	8
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	4	1	+1	+1.5	7
11	Westerlo	6	2	1	3	-1	+0.5	7
12	Mechelen	6	2	1	3	-2	-1.9	7
13	St Truiden	6	1	2	3	-8	-5.2	5
14	Kortrijk	6	1	1	4	-7	-2.3	4
15	Cercle Brugge	6	1	1	4	-8	-8.3	4
16	Beerschot VA	6	0	1	5	-8	-7.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	4	3	1	0	+6	+5.3	10
2	Charleroi	5	3	1	1	+4	+3.9	10
3	Standard	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.0	7
4	Gent	3	2	0	1	+4	+1.4	6
5	Westerlo	3	2	0	1	+3	+3.6	6
6	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.0	6
7	Anderlecht	4	1	3	0	+1	+2.1	6
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.1	5
9	St Truiden	4	1	2	1	-2	-3.4	5
10	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+3	+4.0	4
11	Dender	3	1	1	1	+2	+0.5	4
12	Antwerp	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.2	3
13	Cercle Brugge	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.0	3
14	Mechelen	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3
15	Kortrijk	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.4	3
16	Beerschot VA	3	0	1	2	-2	-2.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.0	7
2	Dender	4	2	1	1	-2	-1.5	7
3	Antwerp	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.2	6
4	Genk	3	2	0	1	+0	+5.5	6
5	Charleroi	3	1	1	1	+2	+1.0	4
6	Mechelen	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.0	4
7	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
8	St. Gilloise	4	0	3	1	-1	+1.3	3
9	Gent	3	1	0	2	-1	-3.6	3
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.4	2
11	Standard	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.9	1
12	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
13	Kortrijk	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.9	1
14	Cercle Brugge	4	0	1	3	-8	-6.3	1
15	Beerschot VA	3	0	0	3	-6	-4.8	0
16	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-6	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.