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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Lien
Mjondalen
T S U T S
1–1
Full-time
Aalesund
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mjondalen Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 23%
25%
20%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
50%
80%
Both score Ø 90%
100%
80%
Average goals
4,0
3,6
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
2,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Mjondalen 8. · Aalesund 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kongsvinger 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Egersund 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 Bryne 5 3 0 2 +2 9
4 Levanger 5 2 2 1 +5 8
5 Stabaek 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Sogndal 5 2 2 1 +2 8
7 Moss 5 2 0 3 -3 6
8 Mjondalen 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Ranheim 5 1 2 2 +0 5
10 Lyn 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Sandnes ULF 5 1 2 2 -1 5
12 Valerenga 5 1 2 2 -3 5
13 Asane 4 0 4 0 +0 4
14 Raufoss 5 1 1 3 -1 4
15 Aalesund 5 1 1 3 -6 4
16 Start 5 0 2 3 -7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.