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Eliteserien

Referee: R Saggi

Sarpsborg 08

U T S T T

0–1

Full-time

Fredrikstad

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,2

Conceded

2,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 37%

30%

43%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

70%

43%

Both score Ø 55%

70%

39%

Average goals

3,5

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,70 xG 1,31

70% Possession 30%

13 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 2

1 Offside 5

16 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 12. · Fredrikstad 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	23	15	5	3	+32	+16.4	50
2	Brann	24	13	7	4	+14	+9.4	46
3	Molde	24	13	5	6	+26	+15.9	44
4	Viking	23	11	7	5	+12	+11.7	40
5	Rosenborg	23	11	4	8	+5	+5.0	37
6	Fredrikstad	23	10	7	6	+2	+1.5	37
7	KFUM Oslo	23	7	9	7	-1	+6.4	30
8	Ham-Kam	23	7	7	9	+1	-2.0	28
9	Tromso	24	8	4	12	-5	-11.5	28
10	Stromsgodset	23	7	6	10	-9	-6.6	27
11	Kristiansund	22	6	8	8	-5	-9.0	26
12	Sarpsborg 08	23	7	5	11	-14	-6.2	26
13	Haugesund	24	6	5	13	-14	-6.7	23
14	Sandefjord	22	5	7	10	-7	-2.6	22
15	Odd	23	5	7	11	-16	-14.7	22
16	Lillestrom	23	6	3	14	-21	-7.1	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rosenborg	12	9	1	2	+12	+8.4	28
2	Bodo/Glimt	11	8	3	0	+23	+10.0	27
3	Viking	12	8	3	1	+11	+7.7	27
4	Molde	12	7	2	3	+16	+13.1	23
5	Brann	12	7	2	3	+7	+9.6	23
6	Fredrikstad	12	5	5	2	+2	+4.7	20
7	Sandefjord	11	5	2	4	+2	+1.2	17
8	Kristiansund	11	4	5	2	+0	+2.8	17
9	Stromsgodset	11	4	3	4	+1	+5.0	15
10	Tromso	12	4	2	6	+1	+0.2	14
11	Ham-Kam	11	3	4	4	+3	-0.7	13
12	Haugesund	12	4	1	7	-5	+2.5	13
13	Odd	12	3	4	5	-6	-4.9	13
14	KFUM Oslo	12	2	6	4	-4	+8.6	12
15	Sarpsborg 08	11	3	2	6	-9	-0.2	11
16	Lillestrom	11	2	3	6	-10	-2.8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	12	7	2	3	+9	+6.4	23
2	Brann	12	6	5	1	+7	-0.3	23
3	Molde	12	6	3	3	+10	+2.8	21
4	KFUM Oslo	11	5	3	3	+3	-2.2	18
5	Fredrikstad	11	5	2	4	+0	-3.3	17
6	Ham-Kam	12	4	3	5	-2	-1.3	15
7	Sarpsborg 08	12	4	3	5	-5	-6.0	15
8	Tromso	12	4	2	6	-6	-11.7	14
9	Viking	11	3	4	4	+1	+4.0	13
10	Stromsgodset	12	3	3	6	-10	-11.5	12
11	Lillestrom	12	4	0	8	-11	-4.2	12
12	Haugesund	12	2	4	6	-9	-9.3	10
13	Kristiansund	11	2	3	6	-5	-11.7	9
14	Rosenborg	11	2	3	6	-7	-3.4	9
15	Odd	11	2	3	6	-10	-9.7	9
16	Sandefjord	11	0	5	6	-9	-3.8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.