OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Lyn
Aalesund
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Valerenga
|
21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | +33 | 48 |
| 2 |
Bryne
|
21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | +14 | 41 |
| 3 |
Egersund
|
20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | +5 | 35 |
| 4 |
Moss
|
20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | +5 | 35 |
| 5 |
Stabaek
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +3 | 33 |
| 6 |
Kongsvinger
|
18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | +1 | 31 |
| 7 |
Sogndal
|
20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +7 | 30 |
| 8 |
Lyn
|
19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | +13 | 28 |
| 9 |
Raufoss
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | -4 | 26 |
| 10 |
Ranheim
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 24 |
| 11 |
Levanger
|
20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | +1 | 21 |
| 12 |
Mjondalen
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -7 | 21 |
| 13 |
Asane
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -7 | 21 |
| 14 |
Aalesund
|
20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -14 | 18 |
| 15 |
Start
|
20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -16 | 17 |
| 16 |
Sandnes ULF
|
21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -33 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Schneider
J. Hanstad
Coach: J. Halvorsen
T. Larsen
M. Nielsen
J. Kitolano
K. Nessø
H. Hammer
D. Jóhannsson
Cláudio Braga
Coach: K. Rekdal
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Valerenga
Lyn
Lyn
Start
Kongsvinger
Lyn
Lyn
Stabaek
Mjondalen
Lyn
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.