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Super League

Referee: V Fotias

Asteras Tripolis

T T T T T

0–2

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,2

This season — Super League · 29/26 matches

Win Ø 42%

38%

46%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

45%

38%

Both score Ø 51%

52%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%

5 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 9. · Aris Thessalonikis 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	28	19	6	3	+29	63
2	AEK	28	17	6	5	+32	57
3	Panathinaikos	28	14	9	5	+7	51
4	PAOK	28	14	5	9	+24	47
5	Aris	27	13	6	8	+5	45
6	Aris Thessalonikis	26	12	6	8	+3	42
7	OFI Crete	29	12	6	11	+1	42
8	Atromitos	29	11	6	12	+0	39
9	Asteras Tripolis	29	11	6	12	-3	39
10	Panetolikos	28	10	6	12	-2	36
11	Levadeiakos	28	7	10	11	-3	31
12	Panserraikos	28	8	4	16	-19	28
13	Volos NFC	29	7	6	16	-21	27
14	Athens Kallithea	29	4	10	15	-19	22
15	Lamia	28	3	6	19	-34	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	10	4	0	+15	34
2	AEK	14	10	3	1	+26	33
3	Panathinaikos	14	9	4	1	+10	31
4	Aris Thessalonikis	13	8	3	2	+9	27
5	Aris	13	8	3	2	+9	27
6	Asteras Tripolis	15	7	1	7	+0	22
7	OFI Crete	15	6	3	6	+0	21
8	PAOK	14	6	2	6	+10	20
9	Panetolikos	14	6	2	6	+2	20
10	Levadeiakos	14	4	4	6	-1	16
11	Panserraikos	14	4	4	6	-6	16
12	Athens Kallithea	15	3	5	7	-8	14
13	Atromitos	14	3	4	7	-4	13
14	Lamia	14	2	3	9	-13	9
15	Volos NFC	14	1	4	9	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	9	2	3	+14	29
2	PAOK	14	8	3	3	+14	27
3	Atromitos	15	8	2	5	+4	26
4	AEK	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	OFI Crete	14	6	3	5	+1	21
6	Panathinaikos	14	5	5	4	-3	20
7	Volos NFC	15	6	2	7	-8	20
8	Aris	14	5	3	6	-4	18
9	Asteras Tripolis	14	4	5	5	-3	17
10	Panetolikos	14	4	4	6	-4	16
11	Levadeiakos	14	3	6	5	-2	15
12	Aris Thessalonikis	13	4	3	6	-6	15
13	Panserraikos	14	4	0	10	-13	12
14	Athens Kallithea	14	1	5	8	-11	8
15	Lamia	14	1	3	10	-21	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.