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Super League

Referee: A Katsikogiannis

Asteras Tripolis

T T T T S

2–1

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

This season — Super League · 17/15 matches

Win Ø 41%

29%

53%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

47%

40%

Both score Ø 56%

59%

53%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%

12 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 5

1 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 8. · Aris Thessalonikis 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	17	10	4	3	+19	34
2	Olympiakos	17	10	4	3	+16	34
3	PAOK	17	10	3	4	+14	33
4	Panathinaikos	17	9	6	2	+7	33
5	Aris Thessalonikis	15	8	3	4	+4	27
6	Aris	16	8	3	5	+3	27
7	Panetolikos	17	7	5	5	+4	26
8	Asteras Tripolis	17	5	5	7	-1	20
9	Atromitos	18	5	5	8	-4	20
10	OFI Crete	16	5	5	6	-5	20
11	Volos NFC	16	6	2	8	-9	20
12	Panserraikos	18	5	2	11	-11	17
13	Levadeiakos	17	2	8	7	-9	14
14	Athens Kallithea	17	0	9	8	-14	9
15	Lamia	17	1	6	10	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	9	6	3	0	+18	21
2	Olympiakos	8	6	2	0	+11	20
3	Aris Thessalonikis	8	6	1	1	+8	19
4	Aris	8	6	1	1	+8	19
5	Panathinaikos	9	4	4	1	+4	16
6	Panetolikos	9	4	1	4	+2	13
7	PAOK	9	3	2	4	+2	11
8	Asteras Tripolis	8	3	1	4	+1	10
9	Atromitos	9	2	3	4	-2	9
10	OFI Crete	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	Panserraikos	9	2	2	5	-5	8
12	Levadeiakos	8	1	4	3	-5	7
13	Volos NFC	8	1	2	5	-8	5
14	Athens Kallithea	8	0	4	4	-8	4
15	Lamia	8	0	3	5	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	Panathinaikos	8	5	2	1	+3	17
3	Volos NFC	8	5	0	3	-1	15
4	Olympiakos	9	4	2	3	+5	14
5	Panetolikos	8	3	4	1	+2	13
6	AEK	8	4	1	3	+1	13
7	OFI Crete	8	3	3	2	-2	12
8	Atromitos	9	3	2	4	-2	11
9	Asteras Tripolis	9	2	4	3	-2	10
10	Panserraikos	9	3	0	6	-6	9
11	Aris Thessalonikis	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Aris	8	2	2	4	-5	8
13	Levadeiakos	9	1	4	4	-4	7
14	Lamia	9	1	3	5	-7	6
15	Athens Kallithea	9	0	5	4	-6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.