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Super League
Referee: A Papapetrou
1–4
Full-time
Atromitos
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Atromitos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Super League · 33/34 matches
Win Ø 37%
42%
32%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
42%
47%
Both score Ø 54%
48%
59%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

62% Possession 38%
22 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 7. · Atromitos 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 32 22 6 4 +33 72
2 AEK 32 17 6 9 +26 57
3 Panathinaikos 32 16 9 7 +8 57
4 PAOK 32 17 5 10 +25 56
5 Aris Thessalonikis 30 15 7 8 +8 52
6 Aris 30 15 7 8 +8 52
7 Asteras Tripolis 33 14 6 13 -1 48
8 OFI Crete 33 12 6 15 -6 42
9 Levadeiakos 33 10 11 12 +3 41
10 Atromitos 34 11 8 15 -3 41
11 Panetolikos 33 11 8 14 -3 41
12 Volos NFC 33 10 7 16 -15 37
13 Panserraikos 33 9 6 18 -23 33
14 Athens Kallithea 33 6 10 17 -21 28
15 Lamia 33 3 8 22 -39 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis Atromitos
4′
M. Baku 0–1
B. Palmezano
16′
D. Kaloskamis 0–2
M. Baku
33′
P. Michorl 0–3
M. Baku
42′
B. Palmezano 0–4
N. Athanasiou
Half-time 0–4
O. Adefunyibomi 🔁
↦ Miki Muñoz
46′
N. Alho 🔁
↦ Rubén García
46′
Pepe Castaño 🔁
↦ S. Deli
46′
N. Kaltsas 🔁
↦ Xesc Regis
46′
46′
🔁 T. Karamanis
↦ I. Ouédraogo
1–4 T. Chatzigiovanis
D. Houhoumis
49′
Pepe Castaño 🟨
50′
51′
🟨 Peter Michorl
59′
🔁 G. Tzovaras
↦ B. Palmezano
77′
🔁 D. Stavropoulos
↦ D. Kaloskamis
79′
🟨 Mattheos Mountes
Nikos Kaltsas 🟨
80′
N. Zouglis 🔁
↦ Eder González
81′
85′
🔁 K. Pomonis
↦ M. Mountes
85′
🔁 Carlitos
↦ P. Michorl
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

4-2-3-1
16 P. Tsintotas G
2 Rubén García D
13 K. Triantafyllopoulos D
15 S. Deli D
3 D. Houhoumis D
10 Eder González M
22 Miki Muñoz M
11 Xesc Regis M
7 J. Bartolo M
21 T. Chatzigiovanis M
9 N. Gioacchini F
Bench (9)
69 O. Adefunyibomi
17 N. Alho
19 Pepe Castaño
20 N. Kaltsas
77 N. Zouglis
8 T. Tzandaris
5 E. Yablonskiy
29 F. Álvarez
91 T. Kakadiaris

Coach: S. Pantelidis

Atromitos

4-4-2
55 A. Koşelev G
12 M. Mountes D
31 F. Brorsson D
70 Mansur D
3 N. Athanasiou D
8 P. Michorl M
18 I. Ouédraogo M
5 T. Tsingaras M
14 D. Kaloskamis M
32 M. Baku F
30 B. Palmezano F
Bench (9)
66 T. Karamanis
99 G. Tzovaras
4 D. Stavropoulos
27 K. Pomonis
10 Carlitos
19 P. Tsantilas
1 L. Choutesiotis
44 D. Tsakmakis
9 T. van Weert

Coach: P. García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,04
U
3,20
B ✓
3,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,37
U2,5
1,56
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Papapetrou · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.