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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Huru
Moss
U S T T T
2–2
Full-time
Fredrikstad
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moss Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 47%
32%
61%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
54%
54%
Both score Ø 59%
57%
61%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Moss 12. · Fredrikstad 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredrikstad 28 17 9 2 +26 60
2 KFUM Oslo 28 16 6 6 +19 54
3 Kongsvinger 27 15 3 9 +14 48
4 Kristiansund 26 12 7 7 +12 43
5 Start 27 11 9 7 +12 42
6 Sogndal 28 12 6 10 +1 42
7 Ranheim 28 12 3 13 -16 39
8 Bryne 26 11 5 10 +6 38
9 Mjondalen 28 10 6 12 -2 36
10 Raufoss 28 9 8 11 -1 35
11 Sandnes ULF 28 9 7 12 -2 34
12 Moss 28 9 7 12 -4 34
13 Asane 28 8 9 11 -5 33
14 Jerv 28 8 6 14 -18 30
15 hodd 28 7 8 13 -10 29
16 Skeid 28 3 5 20 -32 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Apr -23 Fredrikstad – Moss 1–1

Match report

Moss Fredrikstad
32′
🔁 I. Hermansen
↦ M. Lassen
C. Braga 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 H. Johansen
↦ A. Konte
50′
B. Hendriksson 0–1
0–2 P. Metcalfe
own goal
54′
1–2 T. Jakobsen
60′
64′
🟨 H. Johansen
L. Mendy 🔁
↦ A. Potur
67′
71′
🔁 O. Aga
↦ S. Sørløkk
72′
🔁 L. Begby
↦ B. Skaret
73′
🟨 I. B. Hermansen
A. Stensrud 🔁
↦ Cláudio Braga
88′
88′
🔁 H. Åsheim
↦ I. Hermansen
M. Andresen 🟨
90′
I. Kukleci 🟨
91′
92′
🟨 M. Nielsen
95′
H. Johansen 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Moss

1 M. Ranmark
21 I. Hoffmann
27 S. Haugli
5 I. Kukleci
2 M. Andresen
6 K. Makosso
20 A. Potur
15 A. Håpnes
19 S. Pedersen
11 T. Jakobsen
14 Cláudio Braga
Bench (9)
17 L. Mendy
29 A. Stensrud
8 V. Hellestø
12 E. Myrhaug Bachke
13 H. Race
10 B. Hegland
24 L. Kubr
26 O. Kjeilen Stavdal
28 M. Iddriss

Coach: T. Myhre

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
26 M. Nielsen
6 P. Aukland
27 M. Lassen
3 B. Skaret
22 M. Woledzi
7 B. Hendriksson
14 J. Bjartalíð
12 P. Metcalfe
16 A. Konte
13 S. Sørløkk
Bench (9)
28 I. Hermansen
9 H. Johansen
29 O. Aga
18 L. Begby
20 H. Åsheim
2 T. Björkström
11 R. Alba
17 S. Kvile
25 O. Langbråten

Coach: M. Thomassen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.