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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: J Tennøy
Fredrikstad
S S U S S
3–0
Full-time
Raufoss
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Raufoss
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 48%
58%
38%
Points per game
2,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
46%
58%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
58%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Fredrikstad 1. · Raufoss 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredrikstad 24 14 9 1 +19 51
2 KFUM Oslo 25 14 5 6 +15 47
3 Kongsvinger 23 13 3 7 +11 42
4 Start 25 10 9 6 +13 39
5 Sogndal 24 11 5 8 +5 38
6 Sandnes ULF 25 9 7 9 +6 34
7 Raufoss 24 9 6 9 +3 33
8 Ranheim 24 10 3 11 -14 33
9 Bryne 23 9 5 9 +4 32
10 Kristiansund 22 8 7 7 +4 31
11 Moss 24 8 7 9 -4 31
12 Mjondalen 25 8 5 12 -5 29
13 Asane 24 6 9 9 -2 27
14 Jerv 25 7 6 12 -15 27
15 hodd 24 6 7 11 -7 25
16 Skeid 25 2 5 18 -33 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredrikstad Raufoss
34′
🟨 L. Mettler
43′
🟨 M. Johnsgard
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. Molde
47′
2–0 S. Sørløkk
51′
54′
🟨 E. Emsis
3–0 J. Bjartalíð
71′
A. Konte 🔁
↦ P. Aukland
73′
S. Kvile 🔁
↦ B. Hendriksson
73′
74′
🔁 A. Østerud
↦ J. Ampofo
74′
🔁 M. Fagernes
↦ A. Helmersen
H. Johansen 🔁
↦ O. Aga
82′
H. Åsheim 🔁
↦ S. Sørløkk
82′
M. Lassen 🔁
↦ J. Magnússon
82′
85′
🔁 T. Engebakken
↦ E. Emsis
85′
🔁 O. Jansson
↦ N. Fremstad
85′
🔁 R. Nelson
↦ L. Mettler
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
4 S. Molde
26 M. Nielsen
6 P. Aukland
22 M. Woledzi
7 B. Hendriksson
14 J. Bjartalíð
19 J. Magnússon
12 P. Metcalfe
13 S. Sørløkk
29 O. Aga
Bench (9)
16 A. Konte
17 S. Kvile
9 H. Johansen
20 H. Åsheim
27 M. Lassen
3 B. Skaret
11 R. Alba
18 L. Begby
25 O. Langbråten

Coach: M. Thomassen

Raufoss

1 O. Lauvli
16 J. Ørsahl
4 S. Westerlund
2 A. Hansen
6 E. Emsis
8 M. Johnsgård
10 L. Mettler
11 N. Fremstad
20 G. Simenstad
9 A. Helmersen
15 J. Ampofo
Bench (8)
7 A. Østerud
21 M. Fagernes
3 T. Engebakken
5 O. Jansson
22 R. Nelson
17 H. Befring
26 F. Brattbakk
31 A. Fagereng

Coach: J. Wålemark

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Tennøy · 86 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.