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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Berg
Fredrikstad
T S S S S
4–0
Full-time
Jerv
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,7
4,5
Scored
2,3
3,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Fredrikstad 1. · Jerv 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredrikstad 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 Asane 4 3 0 1 +2 9
3 Ham-Kam 4 2 2 0 +5 8
4 Bryne 4 2 1 1 +4 7
5 Grorud 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Jerv 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Aalesund 3 2 0 1 +0 6
8 Raufoss 4 1 1 2 -1 4
9 Sandnes ULF 4 1 1 2 -1 4
10 Start 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Ranheim 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Stjørdals-Blink 4 1 0 3 -4 3
13 Sogndal 4 0 2 2 -2 2
14 Ull/Kisa 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Strommen 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 KFUM Oslo 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredrikstad Jerv
1–0 H. Johansen
20′
2–0 O. Øby
22′
38′
🔁 J. Solli
↦ A. Konte
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Myhre
↦ T. Wichne
L. Begby 🔁
↦ S. Molde
60′
N. Solberg 🔁
↦ H. Johansen
61′
70′
🟨 J. Myhre
L. Reuterswärd 🔁
↦ R. Alba
72′
A. Ali 🔁
↦ T. Ismaheel
72′
K. Getz 🔁
↦ T. Drage
85′
3–0 L. Reuterswärd
87′
88′
🔁 K. Novak
↦ I. Mafi
89′
🔁 H. Suggelia
↦ E. Sandberg
89′
🔁 D. Arrocha
↦ M. Wichmann
4–0 A. Ali
94′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
4 S. Molde
26 M. Nielsen
2 A. Hansen
23 A. Aleesami
7 T. Drage
20 H. Åsheim
19 O. Øby
9 H. Johansen
15 R. Alba
12 T. Ismaheel
Bench (9)
18 L. Begby
6 N. Solberg
10 L. Reuterswärd
16 A. Ali
29 K. Getz
3 E. Amundsen-Day
5 P. Aukland
13 A. Karstensen
21 O. Jansson

Coach: B. Johansen

Jerv

20 Ø. Øvretveit
19 I. Mafi
16 J. Norheim
5 E. Sandberg
2 T. Wichne
6 M. Wichmann
10 T. Kok
7 Willis Furtado
9 D. Campos
27 A. Konte
23 O. Håbestad
Bench (8)
18 J. Solli
28 J. Myhre
4 K. Novak
13 H. Suggelia
14 D. Arrocha
3 B. Hove
30 A. Olsvoll
32 T. Ness

Coach: A. Sandstø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.