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Super League

Referee: A Stavrev

Aris Thessalonikis

T U S S T

0–2

Full-time

Panathinaikos

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Panathinaikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

This season — Super League · 29/32 matches

Win Ø 57%

48%

66%

Points per game

1,7

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

45%

66%

Both score Ø 43%

41%

44%

Average goals

2,6

3,2

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

23 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 1

16 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 5. · Panathinaikos 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	33	23	3	7	+45	72
2	AEK	31	20	9	2	+40	69
3	Panathinaikos	32	21	5	6	+45	68
4	PAOK	32	21	4	7	+45	67
5	Aris Thessalonikis	29	14	6	9	+10	48
6	Aris	30	14	6	10	+8	48
7	Lamia	33	10	8	15	-22	38
8	Atromitos	31	8	12	11	-14	36
9	Asteras Tripolis	31	10	4	17	-15	34
10	OFI Crete	31	7	12	12	-14	33
11	Panserraikos	31	7	11	13	-19	32
12	Volos NFC	31	7	8	16	-23	29
13	Panetolikos	31	5	9	17	-25	24
14	Kifisia	31	4	12	15	-31	24
15	Giannina	31	3	11	17	-30	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	17	13	0	4	+30	39
2	AEK	15	12	3	0	+25	39
3	Panathinaikos	16	11	3	2	+27	36
4	PAOK	17	11	3	3	+24	36
5	Aris Thessalonikis	14	9	3	2	+12	30
6	Aris	15	9	3	3	+10	30
7	OFI Crete	16	7	6	3	+9	27
8	Lamia	16	7	2	7	-7	23
9	Panserraikos	15	5	7	3	+1	22
10	Atromitos	16	5	7	4	-3	22
11	Asteras Tripolis	16	6	3	7	-6	21
12	Panetolikos	16	5	3	8	-9	18
13	Volos NFC	15	4	3	8	-8	15
14	Giannina	15	2	7	6	-8	13
15	Kifisia	15	2	7	6	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	10	3	3	+15	33
2	Panathinaikos	16	10	2	4	+18	32
3	PAOK	15	10	1	4	+21	31
4	AEK	16	8	6	2	+15	30
5	Aris Thessalonikis	15	5	3	7	-2	18
6	Aris	15	5	3	7	-2	18
7	Lamia	17	3	6	8	-15	15
8	Atromitos	15	3	5	7	-11	14
9	Volos NFC	16	3	5	8	-15	14
10	Asteras Tripolis	15	4	1	10	-9	13
11	Kifisia	16	2	5	9	-22	11
12	Panserraikos	16	2	4	10	-20	10
13	Giannina	16	1	4	11	-22	7
14	Panetolikos	15	0	6	9	-16	6
15	OFI Crete	15	0	6	9	-23	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.