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Super League
Referee: Alexandros Tsakalidis
Panetolikos
T S S T U
1–2
Full-time
Panathinaikos
U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Super League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 20%
40%
0%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
20%
33%
Both score Ø 60%
20%
100%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
8 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panetolikos 7. · Panathinaikos 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 5 4 1 0 +10 13
2 AEK 5 4 1 0 +5 13
3 PAOK 5 3 2 0 +3 11
4 Aris Thessalonikis 5 3 1 1 +2 10
5 Aris 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Levadeiakos 5 2 1 2 +3 7
7 Panetolikos 5 2 1 2 +1 7
8 Kifisia 6 2 1 3 +0 7
9 Volos NFC 6 2 0 4 -5 6
10 Atromitos 5 1 1 3 -1 4
11 Larisa 4 0 3 1 -1 3
12 OFI Crete 4 1 0 3 -6 3
13 Panserraikos 6 0 3 3 -8 3
14 Panathinaikos 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panetolikos Panathinaikos
Nikola Stajić ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
17′
1–0 J. Aguirre
18′
S. Kontouris 🔁
↦ A. Bouchalakis
44′
Half-time 1–0
Béni Nkololo 🟨
48′
55′
🔁 R. Sanches
↦ A. Gnezda Cerin
56′
🔁 A. Zaroury
↦ F. Djuricic
57′
Tete 1–1
L. Smyrlis 🔁
↦ K. Michalak
70′
K. Aleksic 🔁
↦ J. Aguirre
70′
75′
🔁 A. Jeremejeff
↦ K. Swiderski
76′
🟨 Alexander Jeremejeff
78′
🟨 Anass Zaroury
C. Manrique 🔁
↦ E. Nikolaou
78′
Christos Sielis ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
82′
83′
🟨 Davide Calabria
83′
🔁 M. Siopis
↦ P. Chirivella
83′
🔁 M. Pantovic
↦ A. Bakasetas
90′
A. Jeremejeff 1–2
R. Sanches
Christos Sielis 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Panetolikos

4-1-4-1
13 L. Chaves G
45 D. Galiatsos D
16 C. Sielis D
49 N. Stajic D
77 E. Nikolaou D
41 A. Bouchalakis M
11 B. Nkololo M
22 Esteban Diego
10 A. Matan M
71 K. Michalak M
9 J. Aguirre
Bench (12)
1 M. Pardalos
3 C. Manos
4 U. Garcia
6 S. Kontouris
7 L. Smyrlis
8 C. Belevonis
12 Z. Zivkovic
14 K. Aleksic
15 C. Manrique
20 J. Chura
23 G. Agapakis
35 C. Mavrias

Coach: Giannis Petrakis

Panathinaikos

4-4-1-1
40 A. Lafont G
2 D. Calabria D
15 S. I. Ingason D
14 E. Palmer-Brown D
77 G. Kyriakopoulos D
10 Tete M
4 P. Chirivella M
16 A. Gnezda Cerin M
31 F. Djuricic M
11 A. Bakasetas F
19 K. Swiderski F
Bench (12)
70 K. Kotsaris
5 A. Touba
25 F. Mladenovic
27 G. Kotsiras
6 M. Siopis
8 R. Sanches
9 A. Zaroury
17 D. Mancini
20 V. Taborda
29 A. Jeremejeff
72 M. Pantovic
41 L. Stamellos

Coach: Christos Kontis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,43
U
4,00
B ✓
1,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alexandros Tsakalidis · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.