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Süper Lig

Referee: Omer Tolga Guldibi

Rizespor

T S T U U

1–0

Full-time

Karagumruk

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rizespor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 15%

20%

10%

Points per game

1,0

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,4

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,67 xG 0,76

62% Possession 38%

13 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 8

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rizespor 13. · Karagumruk 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	11	9	2	0	+20	+14.4	29
2	Fenerbahce	11	7	4	0	+13	+14.2	25
3	Trabzonspor	11	7	3	1	+10	-0.3	24
4	Samsunspor	11	5	5	1	+6	+5.7	20
5	Goztep	11	5	4	2	+7	+1.6	19
6	Besiktas	11	5	2	4	+3	+9.8	17
7	Gaziantep	10	5	2	3	-3	-0.8	17
8	Konyaspor	11	4	2	5	+0	-2.0	14
9	Buyuksehyr	11	3	4	4	+3	+0.4	13
10	Alanyaspor	10	3	4	3	+0	-4.2	13
11	Antalyaspor	11	4	1	6	-8	-8.0	13
12	Kocaelispor	11	3	2	6	-5	-3.3	11
13	Rizespor	10	2	4	4	-3	+1.4	10
14	Kasimpasa	11	2	4	5	-4	-6.0	10
15	Kayserispor	11	1	6	4	-13	-6.4	9
16	Genclerbirligi	11	2	2	7	-6	-6.5	8
17	Eyüpspor	11	2	2	7	-8	-3.0	8
18	Karagumruk	10	1	1	8	-12	-6.9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	6	4	2	0	+9	+6.3	14
2	Trabzonspor	6	4	2	0	+8	+4.7	14
3	Fenerbahce	5	4	1	0	+6	+11.4	13
4	Goztep	5	3	2	0	+5	+2.2	11
5	Gaziantep	6	3	1	2	-3	+1.7	10
6	Besiktas	5	3	0	2	+2	+5.7	9
7	Samsunspor	6	2	3	1	+1	+4.7	9
8	Kocaelispor	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.9	8
9	Alanyaspor	4	2	1	1	+2	-1.1	7
10	Eyüpspor	6	2	1	3	-3	-0.9	7
11	Buyuksehyr	5	1	3	1	+0	-0.2	6
12	Konyaspor	6	2	0	4	-2	-0.5	6
13	Kayserispor	6	1	2	3	-9	-2.7	5
14	Genclerbirligi	5	1	1	3	-3	+0.5	4
15	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-4	+3.2	4
16	Antalyaspor	5	1	1	3	-7	-1.7	4
17	Kasimpasa	5	0	3	2	-2	-0.3	3
18	Karagumruk	6	0	1	5	-8	-1.8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+11	+8.1	15
2	Fenerbahce	6	3	3	0	+7	+2.8	12
3	Samsunspor	5	3	2	0	+5	+0.9	11
4	Trabzonspor	5	3	1	1	+2	-5.0	10
5	Antalyaspor	6	3	0	3	-1	-6.3	9
6	Konyaspor	5	2	2	1	+2	-1.5	8
7	Goztep	6	2	2	2	+2	-0.7	8
8	Besiktas	6	2	2	2	+1	+4.1	8
9	Buyuksehyr	6	2	1	3	+3	+0.5	7
10	Gaziantep	4	2	1	1	+0	-2.5	7
11	Kasimpasa	6	2	1	3	-2	-5.7	7
12	Rizespor	5	1	3	1	+1	-1.8	6
13	Alanyaspor	6	1	3	2	-2	-3.2	6
14	Genclerbirligi	6	1	1	4	-3	-7.0	4
15	Kayserispor	5	0	4	1	-4	-3.7	4
16	Karagumruk	4	1	0	3	-4	-5.0	3
17	Kocaelispor	6	1	0	5	-7	-6.1	3
18	Eyüpspor	5	0	1	4	-5	-2.1	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.