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Svenska Cupen

Referee: F Klitte

Malmo FF

S T S S S

1–1

Full-time

Varberg

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

3,8

4,3

Scored

3,2

1,7

Conceded

0,7

2,7

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

4,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+4,0

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Malmo FF 3. · Varberg 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brommapojkarna	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Halmstad	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+12	9
4	Djurgarden	3	3	0	0	+11	9
5	AIK	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Goteborg	3	3	0	0	+4	9
7	Mjallby	3	3	0	0	+4	9
8	Varnamo	4	3	0	1	+3	9
9	Norrkoping	3	2	1	0	+10	7
10	Degerfors	3	2	1	0	+8	7
11	Sirius	3	2	1	0	+8	7
12	Hacken	4	2	1	1	+4	7
13	Trelleborg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
14	Elfsborg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
15	Hammarby	3	2	0	1	+3	6
16	Oster	3	2	0	1	+2	6
17	Varberg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
18	Kalmar	3	2	0	1	+2	6
19	Vasteras SK	3	2	0	1	+2	6
20	Landskrona	4	2	0	2	+1	6
21	United Nordic	4	2	0	2	+0	6
22	Orebro SK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
23	Ostersunds FK	4	2	0	2	-1	6
24	Orgryte	3	2	0	1	-2	6
25	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	GAIS	3	1	1	1	-1	4
27	IFK Luleå	4	1	1	2	-11	4
28	Falkenbergs FF	2	1	0	1	+10	3
29	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	+5	3
30	Olympic	2	1	0	1	+4	3
31	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	+2	3
33	Jönköpings BK	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Berga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Karlshamn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
37	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Smedby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Helsingborg	4	1	0	3	+0	3
40	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Tyresö W	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	IK brage	3	0	3	0	+0	3
45	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Sundsvall	3	1	0	2	-1	3
47	Dalstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Jonsered	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Zenith	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Lund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Gefle IF	3	1	0	2	-2	3
52	Dalkurd FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Örebro Syrianska	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Rosengård	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	-3	3
56	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-3	3
57	IFK Hässleholm	2	1	0	1	-3	3
58	Lucksta	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Utsikten	3	1	0	2	-4	3
60	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
65	Franke	2	0	1	1	-5	1
66	Roslagsbro	2	0	1	1	-5	1
67	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0
96	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brommapojkarna	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	AIK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	Norrkoping	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Hacken	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Halmstad	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	IFK Luleå	4	1	1	2	-11	4
9	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	+5	3
10	Jönköpings BK	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Berga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Karlshamn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Hammarby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Varnamo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Ostersunds FK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Orebro SK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
27	Tyresö W	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Dalstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
30	Zenith	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Rosengård	2	1	0	1	-2	3
32	United Nordic	3	1	0	2	-3	3
33	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	-3	3
34	Lucksta	2	1	0	1	-4	3
35	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	IK brage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
39	Roslagsbro	2	0	1	1	-5	1
40	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Falkenbergs FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Lund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Husqvarna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Smedby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Varberg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Jonsered	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Örebro Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	IFK Hässleholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
69	Franke	1	0	0	1	-5	0
70	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
71	IFK Österåker	1	0	0	1	-6	0
72	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Varberg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Oster	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Vasteras SK	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Varnamo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Sirius	2	1	1	0	+6	4
10	Brommapojkarna	2	1	1	0	+5	4
11	Trelleborg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	GAIS	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+11	3
14	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+6	3
15	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+6	3
16	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+5	3
17	United Nordic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	AIK	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	IFK Österåker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Hacken	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	+2	3
25	Husqvarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Jonsered	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Helsingborg	3	1	0	2	+1	3
31	Elfsborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Dalkurd FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Landskrona	3	1	0	2	+0	3
39	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Sundsvall	3	1	0	2	-1	3
41	Orebro SK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Gefle IF	3	1	0	2	-2	3
43	Ostersunds FK	3	1	0	2	-2	3
44	Orgryte	2	1	0	1	-3	3
45	Utsikten	3	1	0	2	-4	3
46	IK brage	2	0	2	0	+0	2
47	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Franke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.