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Svenska Cupen

Referee: F Ben Ahmed Nehdi

IFK Luleå

T T T U S

0–4

Full-time

Varberg

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

IFK Luleå Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Svenska Cupen · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

1,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match IFK Luleå 16. · Varberg 34. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sirius	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Degerfors	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Brommapojkarna	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	United Nordic	3	2	0	1	+5	6
5	Halmstad	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	AIK	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Vasteras SK	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Elfsborg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Kalmar	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Varnamo	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	Norrkoping	2	1	1	0	+6	4
16	IFK Luleå	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	Falkenbergs FF	2	1	0	1	+10	3
19	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	+5	3
20	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+5	3
21	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Olympic	2	1	0	1	+4	3
23	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	Helsingborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
25	Jönköpings BK	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Berga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
28	Karlshamn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Landskrona	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Hammarby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Smedby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Tyresö W	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Utsikten	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Trelleborg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Dalstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Jonsered	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Orebro SK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	GAIS	2	1	0	1	-1	3
46	Gefle IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
47	Oster	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Zenith	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Lund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Dalkurd FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Örebro Syrianska	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Rosengård	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	-3	3
55	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-3	3
56	Orgryte	2	1	0	1	-3	3
57	IFK Hässleholm	2	1	0	1	-3	3
58	Lucksta	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	IK brage	2	0	2	0	+0	2
60	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
65	Franke	2	0	1	1	-5	1
66	Roslagsbro	2	0	1	1	-5	1
67	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0
96	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	IFK Luleå	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	+5	3
3	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	United Nordic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Jönköpings BK	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Berga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	AIK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Karlshamn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	Tyresö W	2	1	0	1	+0	3
20	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Dalstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Zenith	2	1	0	1	-1	3
23	Rosengård	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	-3	3
25	Lucksta	2	1	0	1	-4	3
26	Norrkoping	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
30	Roslagsbro	2	0	1	1	-5	1
31	Hammarby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Falkenbergs FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Lund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Husqvarna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Smedby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Jonsered	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Örebro Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	IFK Hässleholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
59	Franke	1	0	0	1	-5	0
60	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
61	IFK Österåker	1	0	0	1	-6	0
62	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vasteras SK	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+11	3
4	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	United Nordic	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	AIK	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	IFK Österåker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Helsingborg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
20	Husqvarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Jonsered	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Sundsvall	2	1	0	1	+1	3
28	Landskrona	2	1	0	1	+1	3
29	Dalkurd FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Varnamo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Utsikten	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Trelleborg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Orebro SK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	GAIS	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Gefle IF	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Oster	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Ostersunds FK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
45	Orgryte	2	1	0	1	-3	3
46	IK brage	2	0	2	0	+0	2
47	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Franke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.