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OBOS-ligaen
Mjondalen
S S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Fredrikstad
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mjondalen Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 24/26 matches
Win Ø 29%
42%
15%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 66%
58%
73%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Mjondalen 7. · Fredrikstad 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 27 19 5 3 +36 62
2 Start 26 14 7 5 +19 49
3 Sandnes ULF 25 12 8 5 +9 44
4 Ranheim 24 12 7 5 +11 43
5 Ull/Kisa 25 12 3 10 +1 39
6 Levanger 27 9 11 7 +3 38
7 Mjondalen 24 10 7 7 +8 37
8 Floro 27 9 7 11 -1 34
9 Strommen 27 8 9 10 -6 33
10 Jerv 26 8 8 10 -2 32
11 Kongsvinger 27 8 6 13 -2 30
12 Tromsdalen Uil 27 7 9 11 -6 30
13 Asane 27 6 11 10 -13 29
14 Fredrikstad 26 4 11 11 -14 23
15 Elverum 27 3 12 12 -19 21
16 Arendal 26 5 5 16 -24 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mjondalen Fredrikstad
1–0 O. Boye
35′
37′
S. Kapidzic 1–1
Half-time 2–1
2–1 A. Pellegrino
46′
65′
🔁 R. Lekaj
↦ R. Nuhu
J. Bojang 🔁
↦ O. Boye
66′
74′
🔁 Alexander Henningsson
↦ P. Karoliussen
M. Olsen 🔁
↦ A. Pellegrino
83′
3–1 M. Olsen
88′
89′
🔁 J. Buduson
↦ F. Westgård
A. Hellum 🔁
↦ M. Fredriksen
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Mjondalen

1 S. Makani
5 U. Arneberg
2 Q. Jansen
11 C. Gauseth
16 M. Gundersen
15 M. Fredriksen
19 J. Lindseth
32 V. Dragsnes
9 M. Hansen
7 A. Pellegrino
20 O. Boye
Bench (7)
31 J. Bojang
21 M. Olsen
18 A. Hellum
4 W. Sell
22 H. Gulden
23 S. Johansen
25 G. Bokwé

Coach: V. Hansen

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
4 M. Leko
28 R. Nuhu
22 A. Akinyemi
6 P. Karoliussen
20 H. Åsheim
7 J. Veteli
16 F. Westgård
9 U. Flo
10 S. Kapidzic
18 L. Begby
Bench (7)
17 R. Lekaj
14 Alexander Henningsson
11 J. Buduson
5 E. Skagestad
19 H. Bredeli
21 H. Furebotn
25 J. Masalin

Coach: A. Loberto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.