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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: S Hauge
Mjondalen
T T S U S
2–0
Full-time
Fredrikstad
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mjondalen Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Mjondalen 5. · Fredrikstad 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 4 2 2 0 +5 8
2 KFUM Oslo 4 2 2 0 +3 8
3 Sogndal 4 2 2 0 +3 8
4 Stabaek 3 2 1 0 +5 7
5 Mjondalen 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Sandnes ULF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Fredrikstad 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Start 3 1 1 1 +3 4
9 Ranheim 3 1 1 1 -3 4
10 Kongsvinger 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Grorud 4 0 3 1 -1 3
12 Raufoss 4 0 3 1 -2 3
13 Stjørdals-Blink 4 0 1 3 -4 1
14 Asane 3 0 1 2 -8 1
15 Skeid 3 0 0 3 -3 0
16 Bryne 3 0 0 3 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mjondalen Fredrikstad
1–0 J. Solberg
12′
39′
🟨 M. Nielsen
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 N. Solberg
↦ L. Reuterswärd
H. Kleppa 🔁
↦ M. Ovenstad
59′
59′
🔁 O. Okeke
↦ H. Johansen
2–0 B. Stokke
63′
65′
🔁 L. Begby
↦ S. Molde
65′
🔁 O. Øby
↦ T. Drage
S. S. Eriksen 🟨
68′
B. Singh 🔁
↦ J. Solberg
77′
82′
🔁 J. Lindström
↦ H. Åsheim
83′
🟨 A. Hadzic
93′
🟨 O. Okeke
M. Bækken 🔁
↦ S. Eriksen
94′
K. Eriksen 🔁
↦ B. Stokke
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Mjondalen

23 T. Kinn
6 J. Solberg
12 M. Nakkim
5 S. Øverby
4 A. Hansen
7 M. Ovenstad
11 M. Olsen
14 M. Moldskred
2 S. Eriksen
9 B. Stokke
8 O. Sveen
Bench (8)
21 H. Kleppa
17 B. Singh
19 M. Bækken
30 K. Eriksen
3 L. Bekteshi
13 E. Hejer
27 F. Bamenye
35 A. Fotland

Coach: V. Hansen

Fredrikstad

1 H. Jensen
4 S. Molde
26 M. Nielsen
6 P. Aukland
17 T. Johansen
7 T. Drage
20 H. Åsheim
5 A. Hadžić
9 H. Johansen
12 L. Reuterswärd
24 N. Williams
Bench (9)
10 N. Solberg
22 O. Okeke
18 L. Begby
19 O. Øby
14 J. Lindström
2 A. Hansen
16 M. Solhaug Wenneberg
23 A. Aleesami
25 O. Langbråten

Coach: B. Johansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Hauge · 97 kamper i vår database

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.