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Primeira Liga

Referee: Tiago Martins

Porto

S S U S U

5–1

Full-time

Farense

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Farense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 44%

68%

19%

Points per game

2,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

52%

32%

Both score Ø 50%

55%

45%

Average goals

2,9

2,2

Scored

2,0

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

72% Possession 28%

13 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 1

1 Offside 5

18 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Porto 2. · Farense 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	31	24	7	0	+41	79
2	Porto	31	21	8	2	+34	71
3	Benfica	31	20	7	4	+37	67
4	Sp Braga	32	18	6	8	+19	60
5	Pacos Ferreira	32	14	8	10	+0	50
6	Guimaraes	31	12	6	13	-4	42
7	Moreirense	32	9	13	10	-8	40
8	Santa Clara	31	10	7	14	+1	37
9	Belenenses	31	8	13	10	-6	37
10	Gil Vicente	32	10	6	16	-10	36
11	Tondela	31	10	6	15	-17	36
12	Portimonense	32	9	7	16	-6	34
13	Famalicao	31	8	10	13	-9	34
14	Maritimo	32	10	4	18	-16	34
15	Rio Ave	31	6	13	12	-12	31
16	Boavista	31	6	12	13	-11	30
17	Farense	31	6	10	15	-10	28
18	Nacional	31	6	7	18	-23	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	15	11	4	0	+19	37
2	Porto	15	11	3	1	+17	36
3	Benfica	16	11	3	2	+15	36
4	Sp Braga	16	10	3	3	+11	33
5	Pacos Ferreira	16	10	3	3	+6	33
6	Tondela	15	8	2	5	+0	26
7	Belenenses	16	6	5	5	-1	23
8	Portimonense	16	6	4	6	+3	22
9	Guimaraes	15	7	1	7	-3	22
10	Santa Clara	15	5	5	5	+5	20
11	Moreirense	16	3	10	3	-2	19
12	Rio Ave	16	4	6	6	-3	18
13	Maritimo	16	5	2	9	-11	17
14	Boavista	16	4	4	8	-6	16
15	Gil Vicente	16	4	4	8	-6	16
16	Famalicao	16	3	7	6	-8	16
17	Farense	16	3	6	7	-2	15
18	Nacional	15	4	3	8	-8	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	16	13	3	0	+22	42
2	Porto	16	10	5	1	+17	35
3	Benfica	15	9	4	2	+22	31
4	Sp Braga	16	8	3	5	+8	27
5	Moreirense	16	6	3	7	-6	21
6	Guimaraes	16	5	5	6	-1	20
7	Gil Vicente	16	6	2	8	-4	20
8	Famalicao	15	5	3	7	-1	18
9	Santa Clara	16	5	2	9	-4	17
10	Maritimo	16	5	2	9	-5	17
11	Pacos Ferreira	16	4	5	7	-6	17
12	Boavista	15	2	8	5	-5	14
13	Belenenses	15	2	8	5	-5	14
14	Farense	15	3	4	8	-8	13
15	Rio Ave	15	2	7	6	-9	13
16	Portimonense	16	3	3	10	-9	12
17	Nacional	16	2	4	10	-15	10
18	Tondela	16	2	4	10	-17	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.