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DFB-Pokal

Referee: D Siebert

Cottbus

1–2

Full-time

Werder Bremen

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%

9 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 1

3 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+10	3
2	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Sandhausen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Stuttgarter Kickers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	VfB Lubeck	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Braunschweig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Regensburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Waldhof Mannheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Straelen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Kaiserslautern	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Bayreuth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Kaan-Marienborn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	SV Rodinghausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Kickers Offenbach	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	BW Lohne	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-5	0
49	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-6	0
50	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-8	0
51	Neustrelitz	1	0	0	1	-8	0
52	Einheit Wernigerode	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgarter Kickers	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	VfB Lubeck	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Braunschweig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Regensburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Waldhof Mannheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Straelen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Kaiserslautern	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Bayreuth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Kaan-Marienborn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	SV Rodinghausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Kickers Offenbach	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden	1	0	0	1	-4	0
21	BW Lohne	1	0	0	1	-4	0
22	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-5	0
23	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-6	0
24	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-8	0
25	Neustrelitz	1	0	0	1	-8	0
26	Einheit Wernigerode	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+10	3
2	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Sandhausen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cottbus Werder Bremen

43′

⚽ R. Schmid 0–1

N. Füllkrug

Half-time 0–1

J. Juckel 🔁

↦ N. Geisler

46′

T. Eisenhuth 🔁

↦ D. Slamar

46′

M. Oesterhelweg 🔁

↦ A. Abu-Alfa

46′

70′

🔁 J. Stage

↦ L. Bittencourt

72′

🟨 Amos Pieper

73′

⚽ M. Weiser 0–2

M. Badu 🔁

↦ A. Kujović

77′

T. Heike 🔁

↦ T. Hasse

77′

🔁 A. Jung

↦ L. Buchanan

1–2 T. Heike ⚽

J. Juckel

79′

85′

🟨 Christian Groß

92′

🔁 O. Burke

↦ M. Ducksch

92′

🔁 N. Rapp

↦ R. Schmid

Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cottbus

4-3-3

1 A. Sebald G

14 T. Hasse D

27 D. Slamar D

17 J. Hildebrandt D

A. Borgmann D

16 A. Kujović M

J. Hofmann M

19 N. Geisler M

30 P. Milde F

13 E. Hottmann F

7 A. Abu-Alfa F

Bench (9)

36 J. Juckel

21 T. Eisenhuth

10 M. Oesterhelweg

23 M. Badu

9 T. Heike

31 C. Moye

35 E. Kaizer

26 J. Böhmert

32 P. Wagner

Coach: C. Wollitz

Werder Bremen

4-4-2

J. Pavlenka G

A. Pieper D

13 M. Veljković D

M. Friedl D

L. Buchanan D

M. Weiser M

R. Schmid M

36 C. Groß M

L. Bittencourt M

N. Füllkrug F

M. Ducksch F

Bench (9)

6 J. Stage

3 A. Jung

9 O. Burke

23 N. Rapp

30 M. Zetterer

27 F. Agu

22 N. Schmidt

39 F. Chiarodia

28 I. Gruev

Coach: O. Werner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,3 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

23,1 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Cottbus

Werder Bremen

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee