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DFB-Pokal
Referee: H Osmers
1–3
Full-time
Werder Bremen
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cottbus Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
5,0
3,7
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
4,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-4,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

39% Possession 61%
8 Shots 27
3 Shots on target 10
1 Blocked shots 9
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 11
0 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Elversberg 1 1 0 0 +7 3
2 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Darmstadt 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Dresden 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 St Pauli 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Regensburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Wurzburger Kickers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Hoffenheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Sandhausen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
30 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Alemannia Aachen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Bochum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Greifswalder FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -2 0
36 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
37 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
38 Hannover 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 VfR Aalen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
42 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
43 Viktoria Berlin 1 0 0 1 -3 0
44 Phönix Lübeck 1 0 0 1 -3 0
45 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
46 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -4 0
47 Ulm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
48 Bremer Sv 1 0 0 1 -4 0
49 FC 08 Villingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
50 Sportfreunde Lotte 1 0 0 1 -5 0
51 SV Meppen 1 0 0 1 -6 0
52 Borussia Hildesheim 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cottbus Werder Bremen
32′
K. Topp 0–1
R. Schmid
37′
K. Topp 0–2
Half-time 0–2
46′
🟨 Niklas Stark
D. Slamar 🔁
↦ T. Campulka
46′
D. Pelivan 🔁
↦ J. Putze
46′
Maximilian Pronichev 🟨
53′
55′
K. Topp 0–3
M. Ducksch
61′
🔁 A. Jung
↦ N. Stark
61′
🔁 J. Njinmah
↦ K. Topp
R. Hajrulla 🔁
↦ M. Pronichev
64′
M. Krauß 🔁
↦ P. Halbauer
64′
1–3 H. Rorig
70′
Filip Kusić 🟨
71′
71′
🔁 O. Deman
↦ F. Agu
71′
🔁 L. Bittencourt
↦ J. Stage
77′
🟨 Justin Njinmah
Romarjo Hajrulla 🟥
78′
A. Borgmann 🔁
↦ J. Juckel
87′
87′
🔁 M. Grüll
↦ M. Ducksch
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Cottbus

4-1-4-1
12 E. Bethke G
3 H. Rorig D
19 F. Kusić D
4 T. Campulka D
14 T. Hasse D
8 J. Putze M
42 M. Pronichev M
10 T. Ciğerci M
6 J. Hofmann M
11 P. Halbauer M
36 J. Juckel F
Bench (9)
27 D. Slamar
5 D. Pelivan
9 R. Hajrulla
23 M. Krauß
20 A. Borgmann
17 M. Oesterhelweg
21 Y. Möker
1 A. Sebald
15 E. Kaizer

Coach: C. Wollitz

Werder Bremen

3-1-4-2
1 M. Zetterer G
4 N. Stark D
32 M. Friedl D
13 M. Veljković D
14 S. Lynen M
8 M. Weiser M
20 R. Schmid M
6 J. Stage M
27 F. Agu M
42 K. Topp F
7 M. Ducksch F
Bench (9)
3 A. Jung
11 J. Njinmah
2 O. Deman
10 L. Bittencourt
17 M. Grüll
28 S. Alvero
21 I. Hansen-Aarøen
30 M. Backhaus
22 J. Malatini

Coach: O. Werner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.