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Superligaen
Referee: Aydin Uslu
Sonderjyske
U T T T S
2–5
Full-time
Horsens
T S S T S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Horsens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sonderjyske 12. · Horsens 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 6 5 0 1 +7 +0.7 15
2 Midtjylland 6 4 2 0 +5 +3.0 14
3 Nordsjaelland 6 4 1 1 +5 +8.5 13
4 Brondby 6 4 1 1 +4 -1.4 13
5 Viborg 7 4 1 2 +4 +3.2 13
6 Horsens 6 2 1 3 -2 -5.6 7
7 Randers FC 6 2 1 3 -3 -5.0 7
8 Lyngby 7 1 3 3 -2 +3.9 6
9 Silkeborg 7 1 3 3 -4 -3.4 6
10 Odense 6 1 2 3 -2 -1.0 5
11 Aarhus 7 0 4 3 -4 +2.2 4
12 Sonderjyske 6 0 1 5 -8 -5.2 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sonderjyske Horsens
1–0 Osaze De Rosario
Anders Raffnsøe Hoeg
12′
Maxime Soulas 🟨
18′
19′
Ole Martin Kolskogen 1–1
Stefan Velkov 🟥
23′
31′
Yamirou Ouorou 1–2
Pachanga Cassoma Kristensen 🔁
↦ Ismaïl Seydi
45′
Half-time 1–3
56′
Abdul Moro 1–3
Alexander Munksgaard 🟨
58′
58′
🟨 Jimi Tauriainen
60′
🔁 Ivan Milićević
↦ Jimi Tauriainen
Dalton Wilkins 🔁
↦ Andreas Oggesen
60′
69′
🔁 John Batigi
↦ Julius Madsen
69′
🔁 Adam Herdonsson
↦ Abdul Moro
69′
🔁 Jakob Bonde Jensen
↦ Yamirou Ouorou
73′
🟨 John Batigi
75′
🟨 Jakob Bonde Jensen
Jacob Christensen 🔁
↦ Anders Raffnsøe Hoeg
78′
79′
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan 1–4
Alagie Saine
82′
Alexander Munksgaard 2–4
own goal
Dalton Wilkins 🟨
83′
3–4 Mohamed Cherif
Jacob Christensen
83′
84′
🔁 Adrian Justinussen
↦ Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan
Bubacarr Tambedou 🔁
↦ Osaze De Rosario
87′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Sonderjyske

4-2-3-1
24 N. Shinton G
3 A. Munksgaard D
21 S. Velkov D
12 M. Soulas D
23 E. Duru D
6 R. Vinderslev M
22 A. Oggesen M
31 I. Seydi F
8 M. Haidara M
17 A. Hoeg M
11 O. De Rosario F
Bench (9)
33 J. Christensen
7 S. Emini
1 N. Flø
9 M. Hoppe
19 P. Kristensen
15 L. Qamili
26 B. Tambedou
30 G. Wagner
13 D. Wilkins

Coach: Fatah Abdirahman

Horsens

4-2-3-1
1 M. Delač G
26 V. Pálsson D
35 M. Kupijbida D
24 O. Kolskogen D
28 A. Saine D
16 A. Moro M
20 K. Lusavec M
27 Y. Ouorou M
14 J. Madsen M
19 Jimi Weikko Tauriainen F
11 K. Ehibhatiomhan M
Bench (8)
7 I. Miličević
18 J. Körkkö
15 A. Justinussen
31 A. Hoff
17 A. Herdonsson
30 S. Doua
6 J. Bonde
22 J. Batigi

Coach: Niki Zimling

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U
3,40
B ✓
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,25
U1,5
3,60
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,93
O3,5 ✓
3,10
U3,5
1,33
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,65
BLS nei
2,10

Referee

Aydin Uslu · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.