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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Lech Poznan

S U T S T

0–1

Full-time

Rakow

U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Rakow

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 58%

65%

50%

Points per game

2,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

45%

30%

Both score Ø 38%

40%

35%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,69 xG 1,44

55% Possession 45%

9 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lech Poznan 1. · Rakow 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	20	13	2	5	+21	+11.6	41
2	Jagiellonia	20	11	5	4	+11	-0.1	38
3	Rakow	20	10	7	3	+13	+9.9	37
4	Cracovia	21	9	7	5	+8	+0.2	34
5	Legia	20	9	6	5	+12	+10.2	33
6	Pogon Szczecin	20	10	3	7	+8	+9.1	33
7	Gornik Zabrze	20	9	4	7	+3	+4.1	31
8	GKS Katowice	20	8	5	7	+4	+0.9	29
9	Motor Lublin	20	8	5	7	-4	-1.5	29
10	Piast Gliwice	20	7	7	6	+3	-2.3	28
11	Widzew Lodz	20	7	5	8	-4	-3.2	26
12	Korona Kielce	21	5	8	8	-11	-4.7	23
13	Stal Mielec	20	6	4	10	-5	+4.6	22
14	Zaglebie	20	6	4	10	-11	-7.1	22
15	Radomiak Radom	20	6	3	11	-8	-0.6	21
16	Puszcza	20	4	7	9	-10	-10.7	19
17	Lechia Gdansk	20	4	6	10	-14	-16.2	18
18	Slask Wroclaw	20	1	8	11	-16	-4.3	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	11	9	1	1	+14	+10.1	28
2	Lech Poznan	10	9	0	1	+20	+10.0	27
3	Jagiellonia	10	6	3	1	+11	+4.4	21
4	Legia	10	6	2	2	+11	+8.2	20
5	Stal Mielec	10	5	3	2	+4	+8.0	18
6	Gornik Zabrze	10	5	2	3	+4	+5.3	17
7	Widzew Lodz	10	5	2	3	+2	-0.6	17
8	Rakow	10	4	3	3	+5	+6.0	15
9	GKS Katowice	10	4	3	3	+4	-1.8	15
10	Motor Lublin	10	4	3	3	+0	-0.3	15
11	Piast Gliwice	10	3	5	2	+2	-1.3	14
12	Cracovia	11	3	5	3	+1	+1.0	14
13	Puszcza	10	3	4	3	-1	-2.7	13
14	Zaglebie	9	4	1	4	-1	-1.8	13
15	Radomiak Radom	10	3	3	4	+2	+3.0	12
16	Korona Kielce	10	3	2	5	-4	+1.7	11
17	Lechia Gdansk	10	3	2	5	-6	-9.6	11
18	Slask Wroclaw	10	1	4	5	-6	-1.3	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	10	6	4	0	+8	+3.9	22
2	Cracovia	10	6	2	2	+7	-0.8	20
3	Jagiellonia	10	5	2	3	+0	-4.5	17
4	Lech Poznan	10	4	2	4	+1	+1.6	14
5	Piast Gliwice	10	4	2	4	+1	-1.0	14
6	GKS Katowice	10	4	2	4	+0	+2.7	14
7	Gornik Zabrze	10	4	2	4	-1	-1.2	14
8	Motor Lublin	10	4	2	4	-4	-1.2	14
9	Legia	10	3	4	3	+1	+2.0	13
10	Korona Kielce	11	2	6	3	-7	-6.4	12
11	Widzew Lodz	10	2	3	5	-6	-2.6	9
12	Radomiak Radom	10	3	0	7	-10	-3.6	9
13	Zaglebie	11	2	3	6	-10	-5.3	9
14	Lechia Gdansk	10	1	4	5	-8	-6.6	7
15	Puszcza	10	1	3	6	-9	-8.0	6
16	Pogon Szczecin	9	1	2	6	-6	-1.0	5
17	Stal Mielec	10	1	1	8	-9	-3.4	4
18	Slask Wroclaw	10	0	4	6	-10	-3.0	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.