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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Szymon Marciniak

Rakow

S S T T U

2–2

Full-time

Lech Poznan

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rakow Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

29%

57%

Points per game

1,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

43%

71%

Both score Ø 72%

57%

86%

Average goals

2,6

3,6

Scored

1,0

1,9

Conceded

1,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

64% Possession 36%

16 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Rakow 16. · Lech Poznan 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	6	0	3	+7	-0.2	18
2	Cracovia	8	5	2	1	+7	+2.5	17
3	Wisla Plock	8	5	1	2	+5	+6.2	16
4	Jagiellonia	7	5	1	1	+4	-2.5	16
5	Korona Kielce	9	4	3	2	+4	-2.1	15
6	Lech Poznan	7	4	1	2	+1	+6.0	13
7	Legia	7	3	2	2	+5	+3.6	11
8	Radomiak Radom	9	3	2	4	-1	-0.1	11
9	Lechia Gdansk	9	3	2	4	-4	-2.9	11
10	Zaglebie	8	2	4	2	+3	-1.8	10
11	Widzew Lodz	9	3	1	5	+1	+2.2	10
12	Motor Lublin	8	2	4	2	-3	-1.0	10
13	Pogon Szczecin	9	3	1	5	-4	+2.0	10
14	Nieciecza	9	2	3	4	-2	-0.2	9
15	Arka Gdynia	9	2	3	4	-5	-3.8	9
16	Rakow	7	2	1	4	-4	-0.3	7
17	GKS Katowice	9	2	1	6	-10	-6.8	7
18	Piast Gliwice	7	0	4	3	-4	-0.7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	5	4	0	1	+5	+5.2	12
2	Radomiak Radom	5	3	1	1	+6	+1.2	10
3	Widzew Lodz	5	3	1	1	+5	+1.1	10
4	Cracovia	4	3	1	0	+4	+2.6	10
5	Korona Kielce	4	3	0	1	+4	+0.0	9
6	Gornik Zabrze	5	3	0	2	+3	+1.4	9
7	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+2	-2.5	9
8	Arka Gdynia	4	2	2	0	+2	-1.8	8
9	Legia	3	2	1	0	+5	+2.3	7
10	Lechia Gdansk	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.3	7
11	GKS Katowice	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.0	7
12	Lech Poznan	5	2	1	2	-2	+4.2	7
13	Zaglebie	4	1	3	0	+4	+1.2	6
14	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.3	6
15	Motor Lublin	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.9	5
16	Piast Gliwice	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.1	2
17	Rakow	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.1	1
18	Nieciecza	4	0	1	3	-5	+0.3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	4	3	0	1	+4	-1.7	9
2	Nieciecza	5	2	2	1	+3	-0.5	8
3	Cracovia	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.0	7
4	Jagiellonia	3	2	1	0	+2	–	7
5	Lech Poznan	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.8	6
6	Korona Kielce	5	1	3	1	+0	-2.2	6
7	Rakow	4	2	0	2	-2	+0.8	6
8	Motor Lublin	5	1	2	2	-4	-1.9	5
9	Legia	4	1	1	2	+0	+1.2	4
10	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.0	4
11	Zaglebie	4	1	1	2	-1	-3.0	4
12	Pogon Szczecin	5	1	1	3	-5	+1.6	4
13	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	1	3	-6	-4.2	4
14	Piast Gliwice	4	0	2	2	-3	-0.8	2
15	Radomiak Radom	4	0	1	3	-7	-1.3	1
16	Arka Gdynia	5	0	1	4	-7	-2.0	1
17	Widzew Lodz	4	0	0	4	-4	+1.1	0
18	GKS Katowice	4	0	0	4	-10	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.