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Primeira Liga
Referee: Anzhony Rodrigues
Santa Clara
T U S S U
4–0
Full-time
Rio Ave
U T T S T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Rio Ave
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 2
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Santa Clara 5. · Rio Ave 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Porto 5 5 0 0 +10 +5.4 15
2 Sp Lisbon 5 4 1 0 +9 +4.3 13
3 Benfica 4 3 1 0 +11 +6.7 10
4 Arouca 4 3 0 1 +4 -1.5 9
5 Santa Clara 4 2 2 0 +2 +2.5 8
6 Gil Vicente 3 2 1 0 +3 +2.5 7
7 Sp Braga 3 2 1 0 +2 +1.7 7
8 Maritimo 5 2 1 2 -2 +0.1 7
9 Estrela 4 1 3 0 +1 -0.8 6
10 Nacional 5 1 1 3 -2 -3.3 4
11 Moreirense 4 1 1 2 -4 -3.3 4
12 Famalicao 5 0 3 2 -2 -0.9 3
13 Guimaraes 4 1 0 3 -2 +4.1 3
14 Rio Ave 4 1 0 3 -5 -4.5 3
15 Academico Viseu 4 0 2 2 -4 -3.2 2
16 Alverca 5 0 2 3 -5 -3.1 2
17 Estoril 4 0 1 3 -5 -2.8 1
18 Casa Pia 4 0 0 4 -11 -3.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santa Clara Rio Ave
1–0 Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos
Vinicius lopes
3′
45′
🔁 Malik Sellouki
↦ Diogo Bezerra
45′
🔁 Pedro Amaral
↦ Marios Vrushai
45′
🔁 Sebastian Clemensen
↦ Dario Špikić
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Tiago Ribeiro
Gonçalo Paciência
47′
3–0 Vinicius lopes
52′
64′
🔁 Roland Galcik
↦ Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro
Dani Borges 🔁
↦ Tiago Ribeiro
66′
Luiz Fernando Salles De Castro 🔁
↦ Brenner Lucas Goncalves Santos
66′
Joao Vasconcelos 🔁
↦ Vinicius lopes
76′
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira 🔁
↦ Gonçalo Paciência
76′
77′
🔁 João Tomé Baptista
↦ Andreas Ntoi
83′
🟨 Tamas Nikitscher
Dani Borges 🟨
84′
Frederico Medeiros Silva 🔁
↦ José Tavares
85′
4–0 Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
90′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Santa Clara

4-2-3-1
1 Lucas França G
42 Lucas Soares D
4 Pedro Pacheco D
21 Emanuel Fernandes D
5 Guilherme Romão D
6 Pedro Ferreira M
8 José Luís Rocha Tavares M
70 Vinícius Lopes M
20 Tiago Ribeiro M
10 Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos M
9 Gonçalo Paciência F
Bench (12)
99 Sorriso
25 F. Medeiros
11 Welinton Torrão
12 Neneca
3 Henrique Silva
22 Vitinho
41 Daniel Borges
18 A. Duarte
73 Léo Jacó
80 Tiago Ribeiro Duarte
7 Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
17 João Vasconcelos

Coach: Petit

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1
99 E. van der Gouw G
54 G. Liavas D
23 F. Petrasso D
39 Gustavo Mancha D
17 M. Vrousai D
44 T. Nikitscher M
5 A. Ntoi M
7 Diogo Bezerra M
11 J. Blesa M
77 D. Špikić M
9 Tamble Monteiro F
Bench (12)
22 K. Chamorro
79 M. Patricio
20 João Tomé
30 R. Galčík
24 Pedro Amaral
80 S. Clemmensen
60 Caike
27 T. Medina
98 Rodrigo Ramos Real
19 M. Sellouki
70 A. Wenck
67 Samuel

Coach: S. Silaidopoulos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,41
B
4,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,40
U1,5
2,61
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,65
O3,5 ✓
4,33
U3,5
1,17
Both teams to score
BLS ja
2,00
BLS nei ✓
1,71

Referee

Anzhony Rodrigues · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.