Primeira Liga
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Porto
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +10 | +5.4 | 15 |
| 2 |
Sp Lisbon
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +9 | +4.3 | 13 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +11 | +6.7 | 10 |
| 4 |
Arouca
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | -1.5 | 9 |
| 5 |
Santa Clara
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | +2.5 | 8 |
| 6 |
Gil Vicente
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | +2.5 | 7 |
| 7 |
Sp Braga
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | +1.7 | 7 |
| 8 |
Maritimo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +0.1 | 7 |
| 9 |
Estrela
|
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | -0.8 | 6 |
| 10 |
Nacional
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -3.3 | 4 |
| 11 |
Moreirense
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -3.3 | 4 |
| 12 |
Famalicao
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -0.9 | 3 |
| 13 |
Guimaraes
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | +4.1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Rio Ave
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | -4.5 | 3 |
| 15 |
Academico Viseu
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | -3.2 | 2 |
| 16 |
Alverca
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | -3.1 | 2 |
| 17 |
Estoril
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | -2.8 | 1 |
| 18 |
Casa Pia
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -11 | -3.9 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Lucas França
G
Lucas Soares
D
Pedro Pacheco
D
Emanuel Fernandes
D
Guilherme Romão
D
Pedro Ferreira
M
José Luís Rocha Tavares
M
Vinícius Lopes
M
Tiago Ribeiro
M
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
M
Gonçalo Paciência
F
Coach: Petit
E. van der Gouw
G
G. Liavas
D
F. Petrasso
D
Gustavo Mancha
D
M. Vrousai
D
T. Nikitscher
M
A. Ntoi
M
Diogo Bezerra
M
J. Blesa
M
D. Špikić
M
Tamble Monteiro
F
Coach: S. Silaidopoulos
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Alverca
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Famalicao
Academico Viseu
Santa Clara
Santa Clara
Nacional
Porto
Santa Clara
Anzhony Rodrigues · 16 kamper i vår database
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.