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Superligaen
Referee: Mads-Kristoffer Kristoffersen
Brondby
S S S S T
0–3
Full-time
Randers FC
S T S T S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brondby Randers FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
19 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
4 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brondby 4. · Randers FC 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 FC Copenhagen 7 6 0 1 +12 +0.7 18
2 Midtjylland 6 4 2 0 +5 +3.0 14
3 Nordsjaelland 6 4 1 1 +5 +8.5 13
4 Brondby 6 4 1 1 +4 -1.4 13
5 Viborg 7 4 1 2 +4 +3.2 13
6 Horsens 7 3 1 3 +1 -5.6 10
7 Randers FC 6 2 1 3 -3 -5.0 7
8 Lyngby 7 1 3 3 -2 +3.9 6
9 Silkeborg 7 1 3 3 -4 -3.4 6
10 Odense 7 1 2 4 -7 -1.0 5
11 Aarhus 7 0 4 3 -4 +2.2 4
12 Sonderjyske 7 0 1 6 -11 -5.2 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brondby Randers FC
4′
Elies Mahmoud 0–1
Laurits Pedersen
6′
🟨 Sabil Osman Hansen
45′
🔁 John Bjorkengren
↦ Martin André Sjølstad
Half-time 0–1
46′
ℹ️ Kasper Junker
VAR: Goal cancelled
Luis Binks 🟨
47′
57′
🟨 Nikolai Soyset Hopland
Olti Hyseni 🔁
↦ Oskar Fenger
60′
Patrick Mortensen 🔁
↦ Sho Fukuda
60′
Filip Bundgaard Kristensen 🔁
↦ Marcus Younis
60′
64′
🔁 Simon Stüker
↦ Sabil Osman Hansen
64′
🔁 Hector Lux
↦ Elies Mahmoud
64′
🔁 Mohamed Sankoh
↦ Kasper Junker
66′
Mike Themsen 0–2
Laurits Pedersen
72′
Mohamed Sankoh 0–3
Hector Lux
Christopher Olivier 🔁
↦ Oliver Marc Rose-Villadsen
75′
Daniel Wass 🔁
↦ Max Isaac Ejdum
82′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Brondby

4-2-3-1
1 P. Pentz G
2 O. Villadsen D
37 R. Canut D
4 L. Binks D
24 M. Divković D
99 B. Slisz M
18 M. Ejdum M
21 M. Younis M
29 M. Frøkjær-Jensen M
19 S. Fukuda M
51 O. Fenger F
Bench (9)
15 C. Winther
7 O. Hyseni
11 F. Bundgaard
27 M. Köhlert
9 P. Mortensen
3 Christopher Olivier
50 W. Sonne Schmid
30 J. Vanlerberghe
10 D. Wass

Coach: Thomas Nörgaard

Randers FC

4-2-3-1
1 P. Izzo G
24 S. Hansen D
3 D. Høegh D
27 N. Hopland D
44 N. Dyhr D
8 L. Pedersen M
15 M. Sjølstad M
11 E. Mahmoud M
17 M. Greve M
7 M. Themsen M
77 K. Junker F
Bench (9)
6 J. Björkengren
33 C. Edudzi
5 O. Jones
26 H. Hoyrup
53 M. Nielsen
30 M. Sankoh
25 O. Seck
32 J. Storch
29 S. Stuker

Coach: R. Bertelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,54
U
4,40
B ✓
5,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,14
U1,5
4,60
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,27
O3,5
2,42
U3,5 ✓
1,54
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,63
BLS nei ✓
2,14

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.