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LaLiga2
Referee: Gorka Etayo Herrera
Almeria
U T S T T
3–2
Full-time
Cadiz
S T U U U
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almeria 16. · Cadiz 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Castellon 4 3 1 0 +4 +0.4 10
2 Eibar 4 3 0 1 +3 +1.4 9
3 Leganes 4 2 2 0 +2 -2.0 8
4 Girona 4 2 1 1 +4 +0.9 7
5 Celta B 4 2 1 1 +3 -2.2 7
6 Mallorca 4 2 1 1 +3 +2.5 7
7 Tenerife 4 2 1 1 +2 -0.8 7
8 Granada 4 2 1 1 +1 +0.1 7
9 Las Palmas 4 2 1 1 +0 -1.8 7
10 Sp Gijon 4 2 1 1 +0 -1.0 7
11 Sabadell 3 1 2 0 +1 +3.5 5
12 Burgos 4 1 2 1 +0 -0.8 5
13 Sociedad B 4 1 2 1 +0 -2.0 5
14 Oviedo 4 1 2 1 +0 +3.1 5
15 Valladolid 4 1 1 2 -2 -1.6 4
16 Almeria 3 1 0 2 +1 -1.3 3
17 Andorra 4 1 0 3 +0 +4.6 3
18 Cadiz 3 0 3 0 +0 +2.4 3
19 Cordoba 3 1 0 2 -2 +1.0 3
20 Eldense 4 0 2 2 -4 -1.9 2
21 Albacete 4 0 0 4 -5 +0.4 0
22 Ceuta 4 0 0 4 -11 -5.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almeria Cadiz
5′
🟨 Dilan Zárate
Stefan Džodić 🟨
8′
1–0 Javier Muñoz Jiménez
Brian Cipenga
13′
25′
Javier Castro 1–1
Antonio Cordero
Brian Cipenga 🟨
32′
Francisco Javier García Pimienta 🟨
35′
2–1 Miguel De La Fuente
Brian Cipenga
36′
3–1 Léo Baptistão
Brian Cipenga
44′
45′
🔁 Vladyslav Kopotun
↦ Dilan Zárate
45′
🔁 Borja Vazquez
↦ Damián Rodríguez Sousa
45′
🔁 Javier Ontiveros
↦ Antonio Cordero
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 Andrés Fernández G
2 Marcos Luna D
19 Rodrigo Ely D
18 F. Bonini D
15 Leonardo Lelo D
29 S. Džodić M
33 Quim Junyent M
12 Léo Baptistão M
14 Javi Muñoz M
17 B. Cipenga M
24 Miguel de la Fuente F
Bench (11)
23 Adri Embarba
13 Fernando Martínez
10 Nico Melamed
7 Jon Morcillo
3 Álex Muñoz
5 Jorge Pulido
20 Álex Sola
6 Mikel Vesga
31 Á. Yaakobishvili
22 D. Chirino
21 Chumi

Coach: Xavier García Pimienta

Cadiz

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
12 G. Gocholeishvili D
14 B. Kovačević D
4 Javi Castro D
22 Cristian Gutiérrez D
23 Damián Rodríguez M
5 M. Doué M
18 Jandro Orellana M
28 D. A. Zarate Hidalgo M
16 Antonio Cordero M
19 Urko Izeta F
Bench (12)
3 Sergio Arribas
27 J. Diaz Peregrina
6 Manu Fernández
9 Álvaro García
1 David Gil
21 V. Kopotun
10 Javi Ontiveros
33 M. Rivera
24 Ibon Sánchez
15 K. Toibibou
8 E. Aghama
20 Borja Vazquez

Coach: Celades

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,49
U
4,12
B
5,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,25
U1,5
3,62
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,03
O3,5 ✓
3,13
U3,5
1,33
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,89
BLS nei
1,80

Referee

Gorka Etayo Herrera · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.