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Ekstraklasa
Referee: L Kuźma
Cracovia
S T T U U
0–0
Full-time
Rakow
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,2
2,7
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 53%
50%
56%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
61%
28%
Both score Ø 56%
78%
33%
Average goals
3,6
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
1,6
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,15 xG 0,63
42% Possession 58%
15 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cracovia 5. · Rakow 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 19 13 2 4 +22 +11.6 41
2 Rakow 18 10 6 2 +14 +10.4 36
3 Jagiellonia 18 10 5 3 +7 -1.1 35
4 Legia 18 9 5 4 +13 +8.9 32
5 Cracovia 18 9 4 5 +8 -0.6 31
6 Gornik Zabrze 18 9 3 6 +6 +4.4 30
7 Motor Lublin 19 8 5 6 -3 -1.5 29
8 Pogon Szczecin 18 8 3 7 +4 +7.3 27
9 GKS Katowice 19 7 5 7 +3 +0.9 26
10 Widzew Lodz 19 7 4 8 -4 -3.2 25
11 Piast Gliwice 18 5 7 6 +0 -2.6 22
12 Radomiak Radom 18 6 2 10 -3 +0.4 20
13 Stal Mielec 19 5 4 10 -6 +4.6 19
14 Zaglebie 18 5 4 9 -11 -5.3 19
15 Puszcza 18 4 6 8 -9 -11.0 18
16 Korona Kielce 18 4 6 8 -12 -3.1 18
17 Lechia Gdansk 19 3 6 10 -15 -16.2 15
18 Slask Wroclaw 18 1 7 10 -14 -4.1 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Rakow
Half-time 0–0
M. van Buren 🔁
↦ K. Śmiglewski
57′
57′
🔁 J. Díaz
↦ Adriano Amorim
Amir Al Ammari 🔁
↦ P. Sokołowski
79′
80′
🔁 S. Plavšić
↦ Jean Carlos
80′
🔁 Leonardo Rocha
↦ Ivi López
84′
🟨 Jonatan Braut Brunes
95′
🟨 Gustav Berggren
96′
🟨 Fran Tudor
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Cracovia

3-5-2
13 S. Madejski G
24 J. Jugas D
22 A. Hoskonen D
5 V. Ghiță D
25 O. Kakabadze M
14 A. Hasić M
88 P. Sokołowski M
11 M. Maigaard M
19 D. Ólafsson M
9 B. Källman F
21 K. Śmiglewski F
Bench (9)
7 M. van Buren
6 Amir Al Ammari
23 F. Bzdyl
66 O. Wójcik
16 B. Biedrzycki
18 F. Rózga
27 H. Ravas
77 P. Janasik
3 A. Skovgaard

Coach: D. Kroczek

Rakow

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trelowski G
23 P. Baráth D
88 M. Rodin D
4 S. Svarnas D
7 F. Tudor M
5 G. Berggren M
30 V. Kochergin M
20 Jean Carlos M
84 Adriano Amorim F
10 Ivi López F
18 J. Braut Brunes F
Bench (9)
15 J. Díaz
14 S. Plavšić
17 Leonardo Rocha
2 A. Mosór
21 D. Drachal
97 I. Seck
24 Z. Arsenić
12 D. Kuciak
8 B. Lederman

Coach: M. Papszun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Kuźma · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.