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Ekstraklasa

Referee: L Kuźma

Lech Poznan

S S S T S

1–2

Full-time

Motor Lublin

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Motor Lublin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 55%

80%

30%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

40%

20%

Both score Ø 30%

30%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,00 xG 1,57

73% Possession 27%

24 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 6

13 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 2

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lech Poznan 1. · Motor Lublin 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	10	8	1	1	+15	+4.8	25
2	Rakow	11	7	2	2	+11	+8.1	23
3	Jagiellonia	10	7	0	3	+1	-1.0	21
4	Cracovia	10	6	2	2	+5	+2.6	20
5	Pogon Szczecin	10	5	1	4	+3	+3.8	16
6	Widzew Lodz	11	4	4	3	+1	-1.9	16
7	Legia	10	4	3	3	+6	+4.2	15
8	GKS Katowice	11	4	3	4	+5	+1.0	15
9	Piast Gliwice	10	4	3	3	+1	+1.8	15
10	Zaglebie	11	4	2	5	-6	-2.8	14
11	Gornik Zabrze	11	3	3	5	-1	+1.5	12
12	Motor Lublin	10	3	3	4	-4	-1.8	12
13	Korona Kielce	11	3	3	5	-7	-3.6	12
14	Stal Mielec	10	3	2	5	-3	+0.3	11
15	Radomiak Radom	10	3	0	7	-4	-1.0	9
16	Lechia Gdansk	11	2	3	6	-8	-9.2	9
17	Puszcza	11	1	5	5	-9	-7.2	8
18	Slask Wroclaw	8	0	4	4	-6	+0.6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	5	5	0	0	+12	+5.6	15
2	Pogon Szczecin	5	5	0	0	+9	+6.1	15
3	Jagiellonia	5	4	0	1	+4	+4.2	12
4	Legia	6	3	1	2	+6	+5.9	10
5	Widzew Lodz	5	3	1	1	+2	+0.1	10
6	Zaglebie	5	3	1	1	+2	+0.4	10
7	Stal Mielec	6	3	1	2	+1	+4.7	10
8	GKS Katowice	6	2	2	2	+2	-2.6	8
9	Piast Gliwice	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.1	8
10	Cracovia	5	2	2	1	+0	+2.9	8
11	Motor Lublin	6	2	2	2	-2	+0.2	8
12	Rakow	5	2	1	2	+4	+3.6	7
13	Gornik Zabrze	5	2	1	2	+2	+3.4	7
14	Radomiak Radom	5	2	0	3	+1	+2.2	6
15	Korona Kielce	5	2	0	3	-1	+1.1	6
16	Puszcza	6	1	3	2	-4	-3.6	6
17	Lechia Gdansk	5	1	2	2	-2	-3.3	5
18	Slask Wroclaw	3	0	3	0	+0	+2.0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	6	5	1	0	+7	+4.5	16
2	Cracovia	5	4	0	1	+5	-0.4	12
3	Lech Poznan	5	3	1	1	+3	-0.9	10
4	Jagiellonia	5	3	0	2	-3	-5.3	9
5	GKS Katowice	5	2	1	2	+3	+3.5	7
6	Piast Gliwice	5	2	1	2	-1	+0.7	7
7	Widzew Lodz	6	1	3	2	-1	-2.1	6
8	Korona Kielce	6	1	3	2	-6	-4.7	6
9	Legia	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.7	5
10	Gornik Zabrze	6	1	2	3	-3	-2.0	5
11	Motor Lublin	4	1	1	2	-2	-2.0	4
12	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	1	4	-6	-5.9	4
13	Zaglebie	6	1	1	4	-8	-3.1	4
14	Radomiak Radom	5	1	0	4	-5	-3.1	3
15	Puszcza	5	0	2	3	-5	-3.6	2
16	Stal Mielec	4	0	1	3	-4	-4.4	1
17	Slask Wroclaw	5	0	1	4	-6	-1.4	1
18	Pogon Szczecin	5	0	1	4	-6	-2.2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.